CryptoPunk #4574 valuation (beta)
Male, Frown, Shadow Beard, Crazy Hair, VR.
Valuation (beta), not a floor: 41.5 ETH (about $94,420). 1σ range 35.6 to 48.4 ETH, 2σ range 30.6 to 56.4 ETH. Confidence: Low. Valued at the latest floor (as of 22:04 UTC, floor 30.39 ETH), fitted on sales up to the end of 2026-11-04, model est-v2-202610.
Not listed for sale.
Why this valuation
- Estimate 41.5 ETH (beta), 1σ range 35.6 to 48.4 ETH, 2σ range 30.6 to 56.4 ETH, confidence Low, as of 22:04 UTC, floor 30.39 ETH (fitted on sales up to the end of 2026-11-04).
- Floor 30.4 ETH at 22:04 UTC; 30.0 ETH at the close of 2026-11-04.
- Male punks sold at a median 1.07x the floor of the day before (778 sales, 12 months).
- Terms with clear support: Male market level +5%, VR +23%.
- In the backtest, Male 4+ sales landed within ±6.9% of the estimate half the time (2023-2024) and within ±5.6% in 2025-2026 (months already seen in round 1).
Comparable sales
- #7440 2026-11-01: 40.4 ETH (39.8 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #6066 2026-10-21: 60.0 ETH (57.5 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #2648 2026-05-25: 35.0 ETH (31.6 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #7440 2026-05-12: 39.5 ETH (40.0 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #8781 2025-09-16: 50.0 ETH (30.6 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #7314 2025-08-18: 53.5 ETH (32.8 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #7314 2025-08-12: 58.0 ETH (32.2 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #6066 2025-07-30: 62.0 ETH (34.5 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
Sales of this punk
None on record.
Valuation (beta) from public marketplace sales: not an appraisal and not financial advice. It can be wrong, so read the range, not only the number.