CryptoPunk #4576 valuation (beta)
Male, Earring, Bandana, 3D Glasses.
Valuation (beta), not a floor: 61.9 ETH (about $140,667). 1σ range 44.3 to 86.4 ETH, 2σ range 31.8 to 121 ETH. Confidence: Low. Valued at the latest floor (as of 22:04 UTC, floor 30.39 ETH), fitted on sales up to the end of 2026-11-04, model est-v2-202610.
Not listed for sale.
Why this valuation
- Estimate 61.9 ETH (beta), 1σ range 44.3 to 86.4 ETH, 2σ range 31.8 to 121 ETH, confidence Low, as of 22:04 UTC, floor 30.39 ETH (fitted on sales up to the end of 2026-11-04).
- Floor 30.4 ETH at 22:04 UTC; 30.0 ETH at the close of 2026-11-04.
- Male punks sold at a median 1.07x the floor of the day before (778 sales, 12 months).
- Terms with clear support: Male market level +5%, Skin tone 2 (vs 1) +10%, Earring -2%, Bandana -4%, 3D Glasses +76%.
- In the backtest, Male 2-3 sales landed within ±6.1% of the estimate half the time (2023-2024) and within ±5.7% in 2025-2026 (months already seen in round 1).
Comparable sales
- #3378 2026-10-14: 33.0 ETH (31.6 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #4746 2026-09-22: 88.9 ETH (82.2 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #1717 2026-08-23: 38.0 ETH (35.6 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #2547 2026-08-20: 36.5 ETH (33.8 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #3378 2026-07-06: 35.0 ETH (32.4 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #9233 2026-06-05: 34.0 ETH (31.9 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #9233 2026-05-16: 32.5 ETH (29.7 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #6634 2026-05-04: 205 ETH (199 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
Sales of this punk
- 2020-10-10: 7.00 ETH (accepted bid)
- 2021-03-01: 37.5 ETH (sale)
- 2021-03-20: 40.0 ETH (accepted bid)
- 2021-03-29: 55.0 ETH (sale)
- 2024-02-01: 92.0 ETH (sale)
- 2024-08-14: 47.5 ETH (sale)
- 2024-10-12: 45.5 ETH (accepted bid)
Valuation (beta) from public marketplace sales: not an appraisal and not financial advice. It can be wrong, so read the range, not only the number.