CryptoPunk #4584 valuation (beta)
Female, Purple Lipstick, Straight Hair Dark, Cigarette, Green Eye Shadow.
Valuation (beta), not a floor: 30.0 ETH (about $68,279). 1σ range 28.4 to 31.7 ETH, 2σ range 26.9 to 33.5 ETH. Confidence: Low. Valued at the latest floor (as of 22:04 UTC, floor 30.39 ETH), fitted on sales up to the end of 2026-11-04, model est-v2-202610.
Not listed for sale.
Why this valuation
- Estimate 30.0 ETH (beta), 1σ range 28.4 to 31.7 ETH, 2σ range 26.9 to 33.5 ETH, confidence Low, as of 22:04 UTC, floor 30.39 ETH (fitted on sales up to the end of 2026-11-04).
- Floor 30.4 ETH at 22:04 UTC; 30.0 ETH at the close of 2026-11-04.
- Female punks sold at a median 1.01x the floor of the day before (442 sales, 12 months).
- Terms with clear support: Cigarette -2%.
- Female estimates sit close to the floor by design: in the backtest the floor times the type multiple was the better median guess for Female punks.
- In the backtest, Female 4+ sales landed within ±3.4% of the estimate half the time (2023-2024) and within ±4.5% in 2025-2026 (months already seen in round 1).
Comparable sales
- #7877 2026-05-16: 32.0 ETH (29.2 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #7877 2026-05-06: 30.9 ETH (29.9 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #5060 2025-09-15: 48.1 ETH (29.5 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #5060 2025-03-05: 36.5 ETH (29.2 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #5931 2026-09-23: 32.5 ETH (28.7 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #6343 2026-06-29: 45.0 ETH (42.8 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #7643 2026-06-26: 135 ETH (127 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #7924 2026-04-29: 30.9 ETH (30.0 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
Sales of this punk
- 2021-05-06: 23.0 ETH (sale)
- 2021-07-04: 19.9 ETH (sale)
Valuation (beta) from public marketplace sales: not an appraisal and not financial advice. It can be wrong, so read the range, not only the number.