CryptoPunk #4589 valuation (beta)
Male, Muttonchops, Hoodie, Nerd Glasses.
Valuation (beta), not a floor: 117 ETH (about $265,686). 1σ range 61.2 to 223 ETH, 2σ range 32.1 to 426 ETH. Confidence: Low. Valued at the latest floor (as of 22:04 UTC, floor 30.39 ETH), fitted on sales up to the end of 2026-11-04, model est-v2-202610.
Listed at 149 ETH, 0.4σ above the estimate.
Why this valuation
- Estimate 117 ETH (beta), 1σ range 61.2 to 223 ETH, 2σ range 32.1 to 426 ETH, confidence Low, as of 22:04 UTC, floor 30.39 ETH (fitted on sales up to the end of 2026-11-04).
- Floor 30.4 ETH at 22:04 UTC; 30.0 ETH at the close of 2026-11-04.
- Male punks sold at a median 1.07x the floor of the day before (778 sales, 12 months).
- Terms with clear support: Male market level +5%, Skin tone 3 (vs 1) +13%, Muttonchops -9%, Hoodie +238%.
- In the backtest, Male 2-3 sales landed within ±6.1% of the estimate half the time (2023-2024) and within ±5.7% in 2025-2026 (months already seen in round 1).
Comparable sales
- #9799 2026-08-24: 117 ETH (108 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #9799 2026-08-19: 115 ETH (107 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #7360 2026-07-03: 140 ETH (129 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #3720 2025-11-23: 110 ETH (110 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #7674 2025-07-25: 200 ETH (115 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #8968 2025-07-25: 135 ETH (77.9 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #1182 2025-04-08: 142 ETH (100 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #6935 2025-03-26: 135 ETH (98.8 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
Sales of this punk
- 2025-06-05: 147 ETH (sale)
Valuation (beta) from public marketplace sales: not an appraisal and not financial advice. It can be wrong, so read the range, not only the number.