CryptoPunk #4590 valuation (beta)
Male, Muttonchops, Earring, Police Cap, Pipe, Clown Eyes Blue.
Valuation (beta), not a floor: 27.7 ETH (about $62,936). 1σ range 24.6 to 31.2 ETH, 2σ range 21.8 to 35.1 ETH. Confidence: Low. Valued at the latest floor (as of 22:04 UTC, floor 30.39 ETH), fitted on sales up to the end of 2026-11-04, model est-v2-202610.
Listed at 219 ETH, 17.4σ above the estimate.
Why this valuation
- Estimate 27.7 ETH (beta), 1σ range 24.6 to 31.2 ETH, 2σ range 21.8 to 35.1 ETH, confidence Low, as of 22:04 UTC, floor 30.39 ETH (fitted on sales up to the end of 2026-11-04).
- Floor 30.4 ETH at 22:04 UTC; 30.0 ETH at the close of 2026-11-04.
- Male punks sold at a median 1.07x the floor of the day before (778 sales, 12 months).
- Terms with clear support: Male market level +5%, Muttonchops -9%, Earring -2%, Clown Eyes Blue -8%.
- In the backtest, Male 4+ sales landed within ±6.9% of the estimate half the time (2023-2024) and within ±5.6% in 2025-2026 (months already seen in round 1).
Comparable sales
- #4824 2026-03-24: 31.8 ETH (32.3 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #4824 2026-02-05: 31.6 ETH (31.7 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #4824 2026-02-05: 30.5 ETH (30.6 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #4824 2025-08-03: 54.4 ETH (30.5 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #4824 2025-03-24: 43.0 ETH (30.9 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #9404 2026-10-25: 29.5 ETH (28.8 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #5459 2026-07-04: 33.9 ETH (31.3 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #7036 2026-06-05: 31.5 ETH (29.5 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
Sales of this punk
- 2019-05-06: 0.70 ETH (sale)
- 2021-02-15: 37.5 ETH (sale)
- 2021-05-23: 30.0 ETH (accepted bid)
- 2021-07-13: 53.0 ETH (accepted bid)
- 2021-07-31: 65.0 ETH (sale)
Valuation (beta) from public marketplace sales: not an appraisal and not financial advice. It can be wrong, so read the range, not only the number.