CryptoPunk #4593 valuation (beta)
Male, Mohawk Thin, Clown Eyes Green, Clown Nose.
Valuation (beta), not a floor: 31.4 ETH (about $71,360). 1σ range 28.9 to 34.1 ETH, 2σ range 26.7 to 36.9 ETH. Confidence: Low. Valued at the latest floor (as of 23:04 UTC, floor 30.39 ETH), fitted on sales up to the end of 2026-11-04, model est-v2-202610.
Not listed for sale.
Why this valuation
- Estimate 31.4 ETH (beta), 1σ range 28.9 to 34.1 ETH, 2σ range 26.7 to 36.9 ETH, confidence Low, as of 23:04 UTC, floor 30.39 ETH (fitted on sales up to the end of 2026-11-04).
- Floor 30.4 ETH at 23:04 UTC; 30.0 ETH at the close of 2026-11-04.
- Male punks sold at a median 1.07x the floor of the day before (778 sales, 12 months).
- Terms with clear support: Male market level +5%, Skin tone 4 (vs 1) +20%, Mohawk Thin -11%, Clown Eyes Green -8%, Clown Nose -6%.
- In the backtest, Male 2-3 sales landed within ±6.1% of the estimate half the time (2023-2024) and within ±5.7% in 2025-2026 (months already seen in round 1).
Comparable sales
- #192 2026-09-24: 36.0 ETH (32.0 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #4173 2025-11-27: 32.7 ETH (32.5 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #4173 2025-11-26: 31.0 ETH (30.3 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #4173 2025-09-25: 45.0 ETH (30.1 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #5396 2025-05-22: 50.0 ETH (32.0 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #192 2024-12-23: 42.5 ETH (32.0 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #192 2024-12-23: 38.0 ETH (28.6 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #847 2024-11-17: 40.0 ETH (32.4 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
Sales of this punk
- 2021-05-28: 25.0 ETH (sale)
- 2022-02-04: 109 ETH (sale)
- 2023-08-01: 114 ETH (sale)
Valuation (beta) from public marketplace sales: not an appraisal and not financial advice. It can be wrong, so read the range, not only the number.