CryptoPunk #4594 valuation (beta)
Male, Mustache, Police Cap.
Valuation (beta), not a floor: 39.2 ETH (about $89,042). 1σ range 34.6 to 44.3 ETH, 2σ range 30.5 to 50.2 ETH. Confidence: Low. Valued at the latest floor (as of 22:04 UTC, floor 30.39 ETH), fitted on sales up to the end of 2026-11-04, model est-v2-202610.
Not listed for sale.
Why this valuation
- Estimate 39.2 ETH (beta), 1σ range 34.6 to 44.3 ETH, 2σ range 30.5 to 50.2 ETH, confidence Low, as of 22:04 UTC, floor 30.39 ETH (fitted on sales up to the end of 2026-11-04).
- Floor 30.4 ETH at 22:04 UTC; 30.0 ETH at the close of 2026-11-04.
- Male punks sold at a median 1.07x the floor of the day before (778 sales, 12 months).
- Terms with clear support: Male market level +5%, Skin tone 4 (vs 1) +20%, 2 attributes (vs 3) -4%.
- In the backtest, Male 2-3 sales landed within ±6.1% of the estimate half the time (2023-2024) and within ±5.7% in 2025-2026 (months already seen in round 1).
Comparable sales
- #4685 2026-02-25: 30.0 ETH (30.8 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #5730 2026-02-15: 33.0 ETH (33.2 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #4685 2025-08-23: 55.3 ETH (33.2 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #5730 2025-08-19: 56.7 ETH (35.8 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #325 2025-03-18: 39.5 ETH (30.8 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #325 2025-03-11: 38.5 ETH (30.1 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #5579 2026-10-30: 38.0 ETH (40.0 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #8879 2026-10-24: 45.0 ETH (44.0 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
Sales of this punk
- 2019-06-21: 0.40 ETH (accepted bid)
- 2020-02-07: 0.85 ETH (accepted bid)
- 2020-05-27: 3.00 ETH (sale)
- 2020-09-14: 3.50 ETH (accepted bid)
- 2022-06-20: 78.9 ETH (sale)
- 2022-07-09: 87.5 ETH (sale)
- 2023-07-14: 58.0 ETH (sale)
- 2023-07-21: 56.5 ETH (sale)
Valuation (beta) from public marketplace sales: not an appraisal and not financial advice. It can be wrong, so read the range, not only the number.