CryptoPunk #4607 valuation (beta)
Male, Clown Hair Green, Vape.
Valuation (beta), not a floor: 36.8 ETH (about $83,682). 1σ range 33.2 to 40.8 ETH, 2σ range 30.0 to 45.2 ETH. Confidence: Low. Valued at the latest floor (as of 21:04 UTC, floor 30.39 ETH), fitted on sales up to the end of 2026-11-04, model est-v2-202610.
Listed at 48.5 ETH, 2.7σ above the estimate.
Why this valuation
- Estimate 36.8 ETH (beta), 1σ range 33.2 to 40.8 ETH, 2σ range 30.0 to 45.2 ETH, confidence Low, as of 21:04 UTC, floor 30.39 ETH (fitted on sales up to the end of 2026-11-04).
- Floor 30.4 ETH at 21:04 UTC; 30.0 ETH at the close of 2026-11-04.
- Male punks sold at a median 1.07x the floor of the day before (778 sales, 12 months).
- Terms with clear support: Male market level +5%, Skin tone 3 (vs 1) +13%, 2 attributes (vs 3) -4%.
- In the backtest, Male 2-3 sales landed within ±6.1% of the estimate half the time (2023-2024) and within ±5.7% in 2025-2026 (months already seen in round 1).
Comparable sales
- #5942 2026-09-23: 37.0 ETH (32.6 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #9060 2026-09-07: 28.6 ETH (28.6 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #5942 2026-08-22: 34.5 ETH (32.4 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #9060 2026-08-11: 33.4 ETH (31.3 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #8949 2026-07-31: 35.0 ETH (32.5 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #5656 2026-07-02: 40.0 ETH (37.5 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #1702 2026-07-02: 31.0 ETH (29.1 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #7173 2026-06-29: 88.9 ETH (84.6 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
Sales of this punk
- 2018-05-28: 0.10 ETH (sale)
- 2021-02-18: 25.0 ETH (accepted bid)
- 2021-12-21: 70.0 ETH (sale)
- 2022-04-05: 69.0 ETH (accepted bid)
- 2022-05-02: 70.0 ETH (sale)
Valuation (beta) from public marketplace sales: not an appraisal and not financial advice. It can be wrong, so read the range, not only the number.