CryptoPunk #4611 valuation (beta)
Male, Cowboy Hat, Medical Mask, Big Shades.
Valuation (beta), not a floor: 66.3 ETH (about $160,575). 1σ range 45.9 to 95.6 ETH, 2σ range 31.8 to 138 ETH. Confidence: Low. Valued at the latest floor (as of 01:04 UTC, floor 30.39 ETH), fitted on sales up to the end of 2026-11-05, model est-v2-202610.
Not listed for sale.
Why this valuation
- Estimate 66.3 ETH (beta), 1σ range 45.9 to 95.6 ETH, 2σ range 31.8 to 138 ETH, confidence Low, as of 01:04 UTC, floor 30.39 ETH (fitted on sales up to the end of 2026-11-05).
- Floor 30.4 ETH at 01:04 UTC; 30.4 ETH at the close of 2026-11-05.
- Male punks sold at a median 1.07x the floor of the day before (772 sales, 12 months).
- Terms with clear support: Male market level +5%, Cowboy Hat +96%.
- In the backtest, Male 2-3 sales landed within ±6.1% of the estimate half the time (2023-2024) and within ±5.7% in 2025-2026 (months already seen in round 1).
Comparable sales
- #1393 2026-05-23: 33.0 ETH (30.0 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-05)
- #5500 2025-03-31: 48.0 ETH (34.2 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-05)
- #7585 2025-02-04: 85.0 ETH (64.7 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-05)
- #5500 2025-01-27: 43.0 ETH (32.0 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-05)
- #6687 2026-10-16: 43.5 ETH (42.6 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-05)
- #3739 2026-10-11: 33.5 ETH (32.3 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-05)
- #4341 2026-10-05: 33.9 ETH (31.3 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-05)
- #4341 2026-09-28: 33.0 ETH (29.8 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-05)
Sales of this punk
- 2020-04-27: 2.00 ETH (sale)
- 2020-05-22: 3.00 ETH (sale)
- 2020-05-24: 5.00 ETH (sale)
- 2020-06-13: 7.00 ETH (accepted bid)
- 2021-07-27: 63.0 ETH (sale)
- 2021-07-31: 90.0 ETH (sale)
Valuation (beta) from public marketplace sales: not an appraisal and not financial advice. It can be wrong, so read the range, not only the number.