CryptoPunk #4620 valuation (beta)
Male, Mole, Muttonchops, Cap Forward, Big Shades.
Valuation (beta), not a floor: 32.3 ETH (about $73,391). 1σ range 29.5 to 35.3 ETH, 2σ range 27.0 to 38.6 ETH. Confidence: Low. Valued at the latest floor (as of 21:04 UTC, floor 30.39 ETH), fitted on sales up to the end of 2026-11-04, model est-v2-202610.
Listed at 68.7 ETH, 8.5σ above the estimate.
Why this valuation
- Estimate 32.3 ETH (beta), 1σ range 29.5 to 35.3 ETH, 2σ range 27.0 to 38.6 ETH, confidence Low, as of 21:04 UTC, floor 30.39 ETH (fitted on sales up to the end of 2026-11-04).
- Floor 30.4 ETH at 21:04 UTC; 30.0 ETH at the close of 2026-11-04.
- Male punks sold at a median 1.07x the floor of the day before (778 sales, 12 months).
- Terms with clear support: Male market level +5%, Skin tone 3 (vs 1) +13%, Mole -7%, Muttonchops -9%.
- In the backtest, Male 4+ sales landed within ±6.9% of the estimate half the time (2023-2024) and within ±5.6% in 2025-2026 (months already seen in round 1).
Comparable sales
- #768 2026-04-17: 34.0 ETH (38.0 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #2687 2026-08-31: 35.0 ETH (32.8 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #5459 2026-07-04: 33.9 ETH (31.3 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #5459 2026-04-21: 30.0 ETH (32.1 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #7625 2025-10-16: 47.0 ETH (32.0 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #7314 2025-08-18: 53.5 ETH (32.8 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #7314 2025-08-12: 58.0 ETH (32.2 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #5229 2025-07-16: 47.7 ETH (33.3 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
Sales of this punk
- 2024-10-08: 31.5 ETH (sale)
- 2024-10-09: 33.5 ETH (sale)
- 2024-11-12: 36.0 ETH (sale)
Valuation (beta) from public marketplace sales: not an appraisal and not financial advice. It can be wrong, so read the range, not only the number.