CryptoPunk #4626 valuation (beta)
Female, Messy Hair, Regular Shades.
Valuation (beta), not a floor: 31.9 ETH (about $72,630). 1σ range 30.2 to 33.8 ETH, 2σ range 28.6 to 35.7 ETH. Confidence: High. Valued at the latest floor (as of 22:04 UTC, floor 30.39 ETH), fitted on sales up to the end of 2026-11-04, model est-v2-202610.
Not listed for sale.
Why this valuation
- Estimate 31.9 ETH (beta), 1σ range 30.2 to 33.8 ETH, 2σ range 28.6 to 35.7 ETH, confidence High, as of 22:04 UTC, floor 30.39 ETH (fitted on sales up to the end of 2026-11-04).
- Floor 30.4 ETH at 22:04 UTC; 30.0 ETH at the close of 2026-11-04.
- Female punks sold at a median 1.01x the floor of the day before (442 sales, 12 months).
- Terms with clear support: Skin tone 3 (vs 1) +4%.
- Female estimates sit close to the floor by design: in the backtest the floor times the type multiple was the better median guess for Female punks.
- In the backtest, Female 2-3 sales landed within ±4% of the estimate half the time (2023-2024) and within ±4.1% in 2025-2026 (months already seen in round 1).
Comparable sales
- #874 2026-10-30: 28.9 ETH (30.4 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #2651 2026-10-06: 50.0 ETH (45.6 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #7916 2026-10-05: 33.6 ETH (30.6 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #4554 2026-09-22: 32.0 ETH (29.6 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #4554 2026-09-05: 27.9 ETH (27.9 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #4710 2026-07-22: 36.3 ETH (34.0 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #3646 2026-05-31: 30.5 ETH (28.7 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #8058 2026-05-15: 35.0 ETH (33.8 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
Sales of this punk
- 2021-08-27: 87.0 ETH (sale)
- 2021-10-21: 249 ETH (sale)
Valuation (beta) from public marketplace sales: not an appraisal and not financial advice. It can be wrong, so read the range, not only the number.