CryptoPunk #4627 valuation (beta)
Female, Clown Hair Green, Welding Goggles.
Valuation (beta), not a floor: 39.7 ETH (about $90,360). 1σ range 34.6 to 45.7 ETH, 2σ range 30.1 to 52.5 ETH. Confidence: Low. Valued at the latest floor (as of 21:04 UTC, floor 30.39 ETH), fitted on sales up to the end of 2026-11-04, model est-v2-202610.
Listed at 500 ETH, 18.2σ above the estimate.
Why this valuation
- Estimate 39.7 ETH (beta), 1σ range 34.6 to 45.7 ETH, 2σ range 30.1 to 52.5 ETH, confidence Low, as of 21:04 UTC, floor 30.39 ETH (fitted on sales up to the end of 2026-11-04).
- Floor 30.4 ETH at 21:04 UTC; 30.0 ETH at the close of 2026-11-04.
- Female punks sold at a median 1.01x the floor of the day before (442 sales, 12 months).
- Terms with clear support: Welding Goggles +29%.
- Female estimates sit close to the floor by design: in the backtest the floor times the type multiple was the better median guess for Female punks.
- In the backtest, Female 2-3 sales landed within ±4% of the estimate half the time (2023-2024) and within ±4.1% in 2025-2026 (months already seen in round 1).
Comparable sales
- #4381 2026-10-26: 31.0 ETH (30.5 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #6326 2026-10-08: 51.5 ETH (47.2 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #1470 2026-07-07: 52.5 ETH (48.5 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #2218 2026-02-07: 60.0 ETH (60.3 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #3648 2026-02-06: 40.9 ETH (41.1 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #4196 2026-01-02: 26.5 ETH (28.4 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #4381 2025-11-24: 31.0 ETH (30.0 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #7670 2025-11-23: 41.0 ETH (41.1 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
Sales of this punk
None on record.
Valuation (beta) from public marketplace sales: not an appraisal and not financial advice. It can be wrong, so read the range, not only the number.