CryptoPunk #4628 valuation (beta)
Male, Muttonchops, Peak Spike, VR.
Valuation (beta), not a floor: 39.0 ETH (about $88,764). 1σ range 34.5 to 44.2 ETH, 2σ range 30.5 to 49.9 ETH. Confidence: Low. Valued at the latest floor (as of 21:04 UTC, floor 30.39 ETH), fitted on sales up to the end of 2026-11-04, model est-v2-202610.
Listed at 88.9 ETH, 6.7σ above the estimate.
Why this valuation
- Estimate 39.0 ETH (beta), 1σ range 34.5 to 44.2 ETH, 2σ range 30.5 to 49.9 ETH, confidence Low, as of 21:04 UTC, floor 30.39 ETH (fitted on sales up to the end of 2026-11-04).
- Floor 30.4 ETH at 21:04 UTC; 30.0 ETH at the close of 2026-11-04.
- Male punks sold at a median 1.07x the floor of the day before (778 sales, 12 months).
- Terms with clear support: Male market level +5%, Skin tone 2 (vs 1) +10%, Muttonchops -9%, Peak Spike -6%, VR +23%.
- In the backtest, Male 2-3 sales landed within ±6.1% of the estimate half the time (2023-2024) and within ±5.7% in 2025-2026 (months already seen in round 1).
Comparable sales
- #9404 2026-10-25: 29.5 ETH (28.8 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #2235 2026-09-24: 36.0 ETH (32.0 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #9404 2026-05-04: 29.7 ETH (28.8 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #8990 2026-02-24: 35.0 ETH (35.2 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #2235 2026-01-16: 30.0 ETH (31.2 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #2235 2026-01-14: 26.8 ETH (27.9 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #3091 2025-09-24: 48.0 ETH (31.0 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #3091 2025-09-16: 49.5 ETH (30.3 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
Sales of this punk
- 2019-09-02: 0.25 ETH (sale)
- 2020-05-22: 1.49 ETH (sale)
Valuation (beta) from public marketplace sales: not an appraisal and not financial advice. It can be wrong, so read the range, not only the number.