CryptoPunk #4630 valuation (beta)
Female, Black Lipstick, Mohawk, VR.
Valuation (beta), not a floor: 31.6 ETH (about $71,775). 1σ range 29.9 to 33.3 ETH, 2σ range 28.3 to 35.2 ETH. Confidence: Low. Valued at the latest floor (as of 23:04 UTC, floor 30.39 ETH), fitted on sales up to the end of 2026-11-04, model est-v2-202610.
Not listed for sale.
Why this valuation
- Estimate 31.6 ETH (beta), 1σ range 29.9 to 33.3 ETH, 2σ range 28.3 to 35.2 ETH, confidence Low, as of 23:04 UTC, floor 30.39 ETH (fitted on sales up to the end of 2026-11-04).
- Floor 30.4 ETH at 23:04 UTC; 30.0 ETH at the close of 2026-11-04.
- Female punks sold at a median 1.01x the floor of the day before (442 sales, 12 months).
- Terms with clear support: Skin tone 2 (vs 1) +3%.
- Female estimates sit close to the floor by design: in the backtest the floor times the type multiple was the better median guess for Female punks.
- In the backtest, Female 2-3 sales landed within ±4% of the estimate half the time (2023-2024) and within ±4.1% in 2025-2026 (months already seen in round 1).
Comparable sales
- #9228 2026-09-23: 32.5 ETH (28.6 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #7076 2026-06-13: 41.0 ETH (37.6 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #1475 2026-06-13: 40.0 ETH (36.7 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #3042 2026-06-05: 30.8 ETH (28.9 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #4180 2026-03-23: 32.5 ETH (34.2 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #4180 2026-02-22: 30.0 ETH (30.2 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #1915 2026-02-05: 29.0 ETH (29.1 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #4180 2026-01-07: 35.0 ETH (35.3 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
Sales of this punk
- 2021-02-19: 18.0 ETH (sale)
- 2021-03-19: 27.5 ETH (sale)
- 2021-03-24: 28.5 ETH (sale)
- 2021-05-09: 35.0 ETH (accepted bid)
- 2021-06-03: 26.3 ETH (sale)
- 2021-07-29: 30.0 ETH (sale)
Valuation (beta) from public marketplace sales: not an appraisal and not financial advice. It can be wrong, so read the range, not only the number.