CryptoPunk #4632 valuation (beta)
Male, Frown, Chinstrap, Earring, Vampire Hair.
Valuation (beta), not a floor: 28.1 ETH (about $63,785). 1σ range 25.0 to 31.5 ETH, 2σ range 22.3 to 35.3 ETH. Confidence: Low. Valued at the latest floor (as of 22:04 UTC, floor 30.39 ETH), fitted on sales up to the end of 2026-11-04, model est-v2-202610.
Listed at 200 ETH, 17.2σ above the estimate.
Why this valuation
- Estimate 28.1 ETH (beta), 1σ range 25.0 to 31.5 ETH, 2σ range 22.3 to 35.3 ETH, confidence Low, as of 22:04 UTC, floor 30.39 ETH (fitted on sales up to the end of 2026-11-04).
- Floor 30.4 ETH at 22:04 UTC; 30.0 ETH at the close of 2026-11-04.
- Male punks sold at a median 1.07x the floor of the day before (778 sales, 12 months).
- Terms with clear support: Male market level +5%, Chinstrap -5%, Earring -2%, Vampire Hair -11%.
- In the backtest, Male 4+ sales landed within ±6.9% of the estimate half the time (2023-2024) and within ±5.6% in 2025-2026 (months already seen in round 1).
Comparable sales
- #2505 2026-09-21: 31.7 ETH (30.7 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #1717 2026-08-23: 38.0 ETH (35.6 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #2505 2026-08-20: 32.3 ETH (29.8 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #6562 2026-08-13: 37.0 ETH (35.0 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #6562 2026-08-12: 33.2 ETH (31.4 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #8614 2026-06-26: 36.5 ETH (34.2 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #8614 2026-05-21: 32.6 ETH (29.2 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #6562 2026-04-25: 32.7 ETH (32.8 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
Sales of this punk
- 2021-03-31: 19.0 ETH (sale)
- 2021-04-08: 22.0 ETH (sale)
- 2021-04-10: 20.5 ETH (sale)
- 2021-04-12: 22.5 ETH (sale)
- 2021-07-30: 28.0 ETH (sale)
- 2021-07-31: 34.9 ETH (sale)
- 2021-08-12: 49.3 ETH (sale)
- 2022-04-22: 57.0 ETH (sale)
- 2022-07-10: 77.0 ETH (sale)
- 2022-08-08: 78.7 ETH (sale)
Valuation (beta) from public marketplace sales: not an appraisal and not financial advice. It can be wrong, so read the range, not only the number.