CryptoPunk #4644 valuation (beta)
Male, Gold Chain, Big Beard, Bandana.
Valuation (beta), not a floor: 32.7 ETH (about $74,356). 1σ range 30.2 to 35.4 ETH, 2σ range 27.9 to 38.4 ETH. Confidence: Low. Valued at the latest floor (as of 22:04 UTC, floor 30.39 ETH), fitted on sales up to the end of 2026-11-04, model est-v2-202610.
Listed at 90.0 ETH, 12.6σ above the estimate.
Why this valuation
- Estimate 32.7 ETH (beta), 1σ range 30.2 to 35.4 ETH, 2σ range 27.9 to 38.4 ETH, confidence Low, as of 22:04 UTC, floor 30.39 ETH (fitted on sales up to the end of 2026-11-04).
- Floor 30.4 ETH at 22:04 UTC; 30.0 ETH at the close of 2026-11-04.
- Male punks sold at a median 1.07x the floor of the day before (778 sales, 12 months).
- Terms with clear support: Male market level +5%, Bandana -4%.
- In the backtest, Male 2-3 sales landed within ±6.1% of the estimate half the time (2023-2024) and within ±5.7% in 2025-2026 (months already seen in round 1).
Comparable sales
- #6596 2026-05-13: 38.2 ETH (38.6 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #9447 2026-03-09: 45.0 ETH (45.3 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #6596 2026-02-03: 27.0 ETH (30.0 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #1831 2026-01-08: 60.0 ETH (62.1 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #1831 2025-07-04: 45.0 ETH (34.6 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #9019 2024-12-10: 60.0 ETH (46.2 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #6596 2024-12-02: 49.5 ETH (33.4 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #9216 2026-10-30: 31.3 ETH (32.9 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
Sales of this punk
- 2017-07-10: 0.40 ETH (accepted bid)
- 2023-09-25: 57.0 ETH (sale)
- 2024-01-22: 70.0 ETH (sale)
Valuation (beta) from public marketplace sales: not an appraisal and not financial advice. It can be wrong, so read the range, not only the number.