CryptoPunk #4645 valuation (beta)
Male, Frumpy Hair, Classic Shades.
Valuation (beta), not a floor: 33.3 ETH (about $75,823). 1σ range 30.7 to 36.2 ETH, 2σ range 28.3 to 39.2 ETH. Confidence: High. Valued at the latest floor (as of 22:04 UTC, floor 30.39 ETH), fitted on sales up to the end of 2026-11-04, model est-v2-202610.
Not listed for sale.
Why this valuation
- Estimate 33.3 ETH (beta), 1σ range 30.7 to 36.2 ETH, 2σ range 28.3 to 39.2 ETH, confidence High, as of 22:04 UTC, floor 30.39 ETH (fitted on sales up to the end of 2026-11-04).
- Floor 30.4 ETH at 22:04 UTC; 30.0 ETH at the close of 2026-11-04.
- Male punks sold at a median 1.07x the floor of the day before (778 sales, 12 months).
- Terms with clear support: Male market level +5%, Skin tone 2 (vs 1) +10%, 2 attributes (vs 3) -4%, Frumpy Hair -7%.
- In the backtest, Male 2-3 sales landed within ±6.1% of the estimate half the time (2023-2024) and within ±5.7% in 2025-2026 (months already seen in round 1).
Comparable sales
- #3218 2026-08-29: 32.4 ETH (30.5 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #8949 2026-07-31: 35.0 ETH (32.5 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #8949 2026-04-07: 27.8 ETH (29.5 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #8949 2026-02-12: 35.0 ETH (35.2 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #3218 2026-02-05: 29.0 ETH (29.1 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #8949 2025-07-22: 50.0 ETH (31.6 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #4282 2026-11-02: 30.3 ETH (29.8 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #4282 2026-10-30: 29.8 ETH (31.3 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
Sales of this punk
- 2022-04-21: 58.6 ETH (sale)
- 2022-05-09: 52.0 ETH (sale)
- 2022-05-11: 56.0 ETH (accepted bid)
- 2023-06-28: 48.0 ETH (accepted bid)
- 2023-06-28: 48.0 ETH (sale)
- 2025-07-28: 55.5 ETH (sale)
Valuation (beta) from public marketplace sales: not an appraisal and not financial advice. It can be wrong, so read the range, not only the number.