CryptoPunk #4648 valuation (beta)
Male, Muttonchops, Shaved Head.
Valuation (beta), not a floor: 30.3 ETH (about $68,803). 1σ range 27.7 to 33.0 ETH, 2σ range 25.4 to 36.0 ETH. Confidence: High. Valued at the latest floor (as of 22:04 UTC, floor 30.39 ETH), fitted on sales up to the end of 2026-11-04, model est-v2-202610.
Not listed for sale.
Why this valuation
- Estimate 30.3 ETH (beta), 1σ range 27.7 to 33.0 ETH, 2σ range 25.4 to 36.0 ETH, confidence High, as of 22:04 UTC, floor 30.39 ETH (fitted on sales up to the end of 2026-11-04).
- Floor 30.4 ETH at 22:04 UTC; 30.0 ETH at the close of 2026-11-04.
- Male punks sold at a median 1.07x the floor of the day before (778 sales, 12 months).
- Terms with clear support: Male market level +5%, Skin tone 2 (vs 1) +10%, 2 attributes (vs 3) -4%, Muttonchops -9%, Shaved Head -7%.
- In the backtest, Male 2-3 sales landed within ±6.1% of the estimate half the time (2023-2024) and within ±5.7% in 2025-2026 (months already seen in round 1).
Comparable sales
- #3391 2026-11-02: 30.0 ETH (29.6 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #6953 2026-01-03: 29.0 ETH (30.8 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #8671 2025-11-26: 37.0 ETH (36.1 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #1947 2025-11-19: 28.5 ETH (28.6 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #2959 2025-09-03: 44.0 ETH (27.5 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #6953 2025-08-11: 56.0 ETH (30.6 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #2959 2025-07-18: 52.0 ETH (38.0 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #2959 2025-05-13: 45.9 ETH (28.7 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
Sales of this punk
- 2021-08-29: 125 ETH (sale)
Valuation (beta) from public marketplace sales: not an appraisal and not financial advice. It can be wrong, so read the range, not only the number.