CryptoPunk #4649 valuation (beta)
Male, Normal Beard, Earring, Shaved Head.
Valuation (beta), not a floor: 34.5 ETH (about $78,494). 1σ range 31.7 to 37.6 ETH, 2σ range 29.1 to 41.0 ETH. Confidence: High. Valued at the latest floor (as of 22:04 UTC, floor 30.39 ETH), fitted on sales up to the end of 2026-11-04, model est-v2-202610.
Not listed for sale.
Why this valuation
- Estimate 34.5 ETH (beta), 1σ range 31.7 to 37.6 ETH, 2σ range 29.1 to 41.0 ETH, confidence High, as of 22:04 UTC, floor 30.39 ETH (fitted on sales up to the end of 2026-11-04).
- Floor 30.4 ETH at 22:04 UTC; 30.0 ETH at the close of 2026-11-04.
- Male punks sold at a median 1.07x the floor of the day before (778 sales, 12 months).
- Terms with clear support: Male market level +5%, Skin tone 3 (vs 1) +13%, Earring -2%, Shaved Head -7%.
- In the backtest, Male 2-3 sales landed within ±6.1% of the estimate half the time (2023-2024) and within ±5.7% in 2025-2026 (months already seen in round 1).
Comparable sales
- #4202 2026-10-29: 40.0 ETH (41.4 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #4755 2026-09-23: 33.5 ETH (29.5 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #5133 2026-09-22: 34.0 ETH (31.4 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #4755 2026-09-14: 27.6 ETH (27.8 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #8816 2026-09-03: 33.9 ETH (33.0 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #9335 2026-08-19: 33.5 ETH (31.2 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #1812 2026-05-14: 34.5 ETH (34.6 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #9335 2026-04-23: 30.0 ETH (31.0 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
Sales of this punk
- 2019-09-12: 0.59 ETH (sale)
Valuation (beta) from public marketplace sales: not an appraisal and not financial advice. It can be wrong, so read the range, not only the number.