CryptoPunk #4650 valuation (beta)
Male, Front Beard, Earring, Mohawk Thin.
Valuation (beta), not a floor: 27.4 ETH (about $62,240). 1σ range 24.4 to 30.7 ETH, 2σ range 21.7 to 34.5 ETH. Confidence: High. Valued at the latest floor (as of 23:04 UTC, floor 30.39 ETH), fitted on sales up to the end of 2026-11-04, model est-v2-202610.
Not listed for sale.
Why this valuation
- Estimate 27.4 ETH (beta), 1σ range 24.4 to 30.7 ETH, 2σ range 21.7 to 34.5 ETH, confidence High, as of 23:04 UTC, floor 30.39 ETH (fitted on sales up to the end of 2026-11-04).
- Floor 30.4 ETH at 23:04 UTC; 30.0 ETH at the close of 2026-11-04.
- Male punks sold at a median 1.07x the floor of the day before (778 sales, 12 months).
- Terms with clear support: Male market level +5%, Front Beard -7%, Earring -2%, Mohawk Thin -11%.
- In the backtest, Male 2-3 sales landed within ±6.1% of the estimate half the time (2023-2024) and within ±5.7% in 2025-2026 (months already seen in round 1).
Comparable sales
- #8871 2026-10-16: 32.0 ETH (31.0 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #192 2026-09-24: 36.0 ETH (32.0 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #8871 2026-09-23: 34.0 ETH (30.0 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #8375 2026-09-04: 32.5 ETH (31.7 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #5459 2026-07-04: 33.9 ETH (31.3 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #7310 2026-05-17: 32.9 ETH (29.7 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #5459 2026-04-21: 30.0 ETH (32.1 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #9024 2026-03-28: 30.0 ETH (31.3 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
Sales of this punk
- 2021-08-29: 125 ETH (sale)
- 2021-08-29: 138 ETH (sale)
Valuation (beta) from public marketplace sales: not an appraisal and not financial advice. It can be wrong, so read the range, not only the number.