CryptoPunk #4653 valuation (beta)
Male, Spots, Hoodie, Cigarette, Horned Rim Glasses.
Valuation (beta), not a floor: 114 ETH (about $260,136). 1σ range 60.5 to 216 ETH, 2σ range 32.0 to 409 ETH. Confidence: Low. Valued at the latest floor (as of 22:04 UTC, floor 30.39 ETH), fitted on sales up to the end of 2026-11-04, model est-v2-202610.
Listed at 115 ETH, at the estimate.
Why this valuation
- Estimate 114 ETH (beta), 1σ range 60.5 to 216 ETH, 2σ range 32.0 to 409 ETH, confidence Low, as of 22:04 UTC, floor 30.39 ETH (fitted on sales up to the end of 2026-11-04).
- Floor 30.4 ETH at 22:04 UTC; 30.0 ETH at the close of 2026-11-04.
- Male punks sold at a median 1.07x the floor of the day before (778 sales, 12 months).
- Terms with clear support: Male market level +5%, Hoodie +238%.
- In the backtest, Male 4+ sales landed within ±6.9% of the estimate half the time (2023-2024) and within ±5.6% in 2025-2026 (months already seen in round 1).
Comparable sales
- #9953 2026-06-18: 165 ETH (151 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #6068 2026-05-23: 33.9 ETH (30.4 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #6068 2026-05-17: 33.3 ETH (30.1 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #6634 2026-05-04: 205 ETH (199 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #6068 2026-04-22: 30.0 ETH (31.2 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #9901 2026-01-20: 120 ETH (132 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #8086 2026-01-03: 29.0 ETH (30.8 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #8086 2025-11-04: 33.5 ETH (30.2 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
Sales of this punk
- 2024-08-30: 101 ETH (accepted bid)
- 2025-07-25: 129 ETH (sale)
Valuation (beta) from public marketplace sales: not an appraisal and not financial advice. It can be wrong, so read the range, not only the number.