CryptoPunk #4654 valuation (beta)
Female, Purple Lipstick, Pigtails, Eye Patch.
Valuation (beta), not a floor: 31.5 ETH (about $76,400). 1σ range 29.9 to 33.3 ETH, 2σ range 28.3 to 35.1 ETH. Confidence: Low. Valued at the latest floor (as of 01:04 UTC, floor 30.39 ETH), fitted on sales up to the end of 2026-11-05, model est-v2-202610.
Not listed for sale.
Why this valuation
- Estimate 31.5 ETH (beta), 1σ range 29.9 to 33.3 ETH, 2σ range 28.3 to 35.1 ETH, confidence Low, as of 01:04 UTC, floor 30.39 ETH (fitted on sales up to the end of 2026-11-05).
- Floor 30.4 ETH at 01:04 UTC; 30.4 ETH at the close of 2026-11-05.
- Female punks sold at a median 1.01x the floor of the day before (440 sales, 12 months).
- Terms with clear support: Skin tone 2 (vs 1) +3%.
- Female estimates sit close to the floor by design: in the backtest the floor times the type multiple was the better median guess for Female punks.
- In the backtest, Female 2-3 sales landed within ±4% of the estimate half the time (2023-2024) and within ±4.1% in 2025-2026 (months already seen in round 1).
Comparable sales
- #1556 2026-02-15: 38.8 ETH (39.5 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-05)
- #3704 2026-02-07: 35.0 ETH (35.6 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-05)
- #3704 2025-08-19: 63.0 ETH (40.3 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-05)
- #9057 2025-07-28: 53.0 ETH (29.8 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-05)
- #9057 2025-07-24: 50.1 ETH (30.5 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-05)
- #3704 2025-01-31: 43.5 ETH (33.9 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-05)
- #3704 2025-01-27: 41.8 ETH (31.0 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-05)
- #3535 2025-01-09: 45.7 ETH (38.3 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-05)
Sales of this punk
- 2018-01-22: 0.60 ETH (sale)
- 2021-08-20: 128 ETH (sale)
- 2022-06-30: 93.0 ETH (accepted bid)
- 2026-07-03: 78.0 ETH (sale)
Valuation (beta) from public marketplace sales: not an appraisal and not financial advice. It can be wrong, so read the range, not only the number.