CryptoPunk #4684 valuation (beta)
Male, Shadow Beard, Earring, Do-rag, Cigarette.
Valuation (beta), not a floor: 31.3 ETH (about $75,762). 1σ range 28.6 to 34.2 ETH, 2σ range 26.1 to 37.5 ETH. Confidence: Medium. Valued at the latest floor (as of 01:04 UTC, floor 30.39 ETH), fitted on sales up to the end of 2026-11-05, model est-v2-202610.
Not listed for sale.
Why this valuation
- Estimate 31.3 ETH (beta), 1σ range 28.6 to 34.2 ETH, 2σ range 26.1 to 37.5 ETH, confidence Medium, as of 01:04 UTC, floor 30.39 ETH (fitted on sales up to the end of 2026-11-05).
- Floor 30.4 ETH at 01:04 UTC; 30.4 ETH at the close of 2026-11-05.
- Male punks sold at a median 1.07x the floor of the day before (772 sales, 12 months).
- Terms with clear support: Male market level +5%, Earring -2%, Do-rag -6%.
- In the backtest, Male 4+ sales landed within ±6.9% of the estimate half the time (2023-2024) and within ±5.6% in 2025-2026 (months already seen in round 1).
Comparable sales
- #8627 2026-01-27: 28.5 ETH (30.5 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-05)
- #9421 2025-08-06: 54.0 ETH (31.4 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-05)
- #9421 2025-07-20: 52.0 ETH (33.4 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-05)
- #3926 2025-07-20: 49.0 ETH (31.5 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-05)
- #7143 2025-03-11: 47.7 ETH (37.8 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-05)
- #4688 2025-02-11: 36.5 ETH (30.1 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-05)
- #4688 2025-02-03: 39.5 ETH (30.0 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-05)
- #3425 2026-11-02: 27.6 ETH (27.6 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-05)
Sales of this punk
- 2018-11-18: 0.14 ETH (sale)
- 2021-02-04: 5.85 ETH (sale)
Valuation (beta) from public marketplace sales: not an appraisal and not financial advice. It can be wrong, so read the range, not only the number.