CryptoPunk #4691 valuation (beta)
Male, Mole, Frumpy Hair, Eye Patch.
Valuation (beta), not a floor: 33.0 ETH (about $74,974). 1σ range 30.4 to 35.7 ETH, 2σ range 28.1 to 38.7 ETH. Confidence: High. Valued at the latest floor (as of 20:04 UTC, floor 30.39 ETH), fitted on sales up to the end of 2026-11-04, model est-v2-202610.
Not listed for sale.
Why this valuation
- Estimate 33.0 ETH (beta), 1σ range 30.4 to 35.7 ETH, 2σ range 28.1 to 38.7 ETH, confidence High, as of 20:04 UTC, floor 30.39 ETH (fitted on sales up to the end of 2026-11-04).
- Floor 30.4 ETH at 20:04 UTC; 30.0 ETH at the close of 2026-11-04.
- Male punks sold at a median 1.07x the floor of the day before (778 sales, 12 months).
- Terms with clear support: Male market level +5%, Skin tone 3 (vs 1) +13%, Mole -7%, Frumpy Hair -7%.
- In the backtest, Male 2-3 sales landed within ±6.1% of the estimate half the time (2023-2024) and within ±5.7% in 2025-2026 (months already seen in round 1).
Comparable sales
- #2004 2026-09-22: 35.0 ETH (32.4 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #5559 2026-09-21: 30.5 ETH (29.5 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #5866 2026-09-17: 29.6 ETH (29.9 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #5866 2026-09-05: 28.5 ETH (28.5 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #5866 2026-04-22: 28.9 ETH (30.0 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #2124 2026-03-21: 28.8 ETH (30.3 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #2124 2026-03-13: 28.4 ETH (29.9 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #3837 2026-02-05: 35.0 ETH (35.1 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
Sales of this punk
- 2017-07-02: 0.21 ETH (accepted bid)
- 2018-09-07: 0.10 ETH (sale)
- 2019-01-31: 0.29 ETH (sale)
- 2021-02-20: 13.9 ETH (sale)
Valuation (beta) from public marketplace sales: not an appraisal and not financial advice. It can be wrong, so read the range, not only the number.