CryptoPunk #4699 valuation (beta)
Male, Peak Spike, Eye Patch.
Valuation (beta), not a floor: 36.9 ETH (about $83,838). 1σ range 33.3 to 40.9 ETH, 2σ range 30.0 to 45.3 ETH. Confidence: High. Valued at the latest floor (as of 22:04 UTC, floor 30.39 ETH), fitted on sales up to the end of 2026-11-04, model est-v2-202610.
Not listed for sale.
Why this valuation
- Estimate 36.9 ETH (beta), 1σ range 33.3 to 40.9 ETH, 2σ range 30.0 to 45.3 ETH, confidence High, as of 22:04 UTC, floor 30.39 ETH (fitted on sales up to the end of 2026-11-04).
- Floor 30.4 ETH at 22:04 UTC; 30.0 ETH at the close of 2026-11-04.
- Male punks sold at a median 1.07x the floor of the day before (778 sales, 12 months).
- Terms with clear support: Male market level +5%, Skin tone 4 (vs 1) +20%, 2 attributes (vs 3) -4%, Peak Spike -6%.
- In the backtest, Male 2-3 sales landed within ±6.1% of the estimate half the time (2023-2024) and within ±5.7% in 2025-2026 (months already seen in round 1).
Comparable sales
- #8427 2026-10-23: 29.4 ETH (28.4 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #2124 2026-03-21: 28.8 ETH (30.3 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #2124 2026-03-13: 28.4 ETH (29.9 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #6785 2026-02-20: 38.0 ETH (38.2 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #6785 2026-01-31: 27.0 ETH (29.5 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #6785 2026-01-14: 34.0 ETH (35.4 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #2124 2025-11-14: 33.0 ETH (30.3 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #8427 2025-10-24: 37.9 ETH (29.9 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
Sales of this punk
- 2020-10-08: 5.60 ETH (sale)
- 2020-11-26: 4.00 ETH (sale)
- 2021-04-09: 21.9 ETH (sale)
- 2021-04-09: 24.8 ETH (sale)
- 2022-07-15: 103 ETH (sale)
- 2023-03-21: 90.0 ETH (sale)
- 2023-11-10: 65.0 ETH (sale)
- 2024-06-27: 34.0 ETH (sale)
Valuation (beta) from public marketplace sales: not an appraisal and not financial advice. It can be wrong, so read the range, not only the number.