CryptoPunk #4701 valuation (beta)
Male, Crazy Hair, Cigarette, Clown Eyes Green.
Valuation (beta), not a floor: 34.5 ETH (about $78,441). 1σ range 31.7 to 37.6 ETH, 2σ range 29.0 to 41.0 ETH. Confidence: High. Valued at the latest floor (as of 22:04 UTC, floor 30.39 ETH), fitted on sales up to the end of 2026-11-04, model est-v2-202610.
Not listed for sale.
Why this valuation
- Estimate 34.5 ETH (beta), 1σ range 31.7 to 37.6 ETH, 2σ range 29.0 to 41.0 ETH, confidence High, as of 22:04 UTC, floor 30.39 ETH (fitted on sales up to the end of 2026-11-04).
- Floor 30.4 ETH at 22:04 UTC; 30.0 ETH at the close of 2026-11-04.
- Male punks sold at a median 1.07x the floor of the day before (778 sales, 12 months).
- Terms with clear support: Male market level +5%, Skin tone 2 (vs 1) +10%, Clown Eyes Green -8%.
- In the backtest, Male 2-3 sales landed within ±6.1% of the estimate half the time (2023-2024) and within ±5.7% in 2025-2026 (months already seen in round 1).
Comparable sales
- #8353 2026-08-08: 40.5 ETH (37.7 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #8353 2026-06-27: 42.0 ETH (38.8 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #4790 2026-03-13: 36.9 ETH (38.8 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #4790 2026-03-04: 29.0 ETH (29.1 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #1928 2026-02-05: 28.5 ETH (28.6 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #4135 2025-09-03: 45.0 ETH (28.1 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #4135 2025-08-08: 53.8 ETH (30.1 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #1062 2025-03-01: 80.0 ETH (69.2 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
Sales of this punk
- 2021-06-22: 22.0 ETH (sale)
Valuation (beta) from public marketplace sales: not an appraisal and not financial advice. It can be wrong, so read the range, not only the number.