CryptoPunk #4707 valuation (beta)
Male, Smile, Police Cap, Nerd Glasses.
Valuation (beta), not a floor: 39.7 ETH (about $90,170). 1σ range 34.9 to 45.1 ETH, 2σ range 30.6 to 51.4 ETH. Confidence: Low. Valued at the latest floor (as of 23:04 UTC, floor 30.39 ETH), fitted on sales up to the end of 2026-11-04, model est-v2-202610.
Not listed for sale.
Why this valuation
- Estimate 39.7 ETH (beta), 1σ range 34.9 to 45.1 ETH, 2σ range 30.6 to 51.4 ETH, confidence Low, as of 23:04 UTC, floor 30.39 ETH (fitted on sales up to the end of 2026-11-04).
- Floor 30.4 ETH at 23:04 UTC; 30.0 ETH at the close of 2026-11-04.
- Male punks sold at a median 1.07x the floor of the day before (778 sales, 12 months).
- Terms with clear support: Male market level +5%, Smile +17%.
- In the backtest, Male 2-3 sales landed within ±6.1% of the estimate half the time (2023-2024) and within ±5.7% in 2025-2026 (months already seen in round 1).
Comparable sales
- #1839 2026-09-04: 162 ETH (158 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #8918 2026-06-16: 39.0 ETH (35.8 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #5491 2026-01-06: 32.5 ETH (32.5 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #2925 2025-12-27: 26.5 ETH (29.5 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #2925 2025-12-22: 24.9 ETH (27.7 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #8594 2025-11-28: 36.0 ETH (35.2 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #5491 2025-09-11: 46.1 ETH (29.7 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #5491 2025-09-04: 50.0 ETH (31.2 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
Sales of this punk
- 2021-01-11: 5.75 ETH (sale)
Valuation (beta) from public marketplace sales: not an appraisal and not financial advice. It can be wrong, so read the range, not only the number.