CryptoPunk #471 valuation (beta)
Female, Stringy Hair, Clown Eyes Green.
Valuation (beta), not a floor: 28.7 ETH (about $65,244). 1σ range 27.0 to 30.5 ETH, 2σ range 25.3 to 32.5 ETH. Confidence: High. Valued at the latest floor (as of 20:04 UTC, floor 30.39 ETH), fitted on sales up to the end of 2026-11-04, model est-v2-202610.
Not listed for sale.
Why this valuation
- Estimate 28.7 ETH (beta), 1σ range 27.0 to 30.5 ETH, 2σ range 25.3 to 32.5 ETH, confidence High, as of 20:04 UTC, floor 30.39 ETH (fitted on sales up to the end of 2026-11-04).
- Floor 30.4 ETH at 20:04 UTC; 30.0 ETH at the close of 2026-11-04.
- Female punks sold at a median 1.01x the floor of the day before (442 sales, 12 months).
- Terms with clear support: Stringy Hair -3%, Clown Eyes Green -4%.
- Female estimates sit close to the floor by design: in the backtest the floor times the type multiple was the better median guess for Female punks.
- In the backtest, Female 2-3 sales landed within ±4% of the estimate half the time (2023-2024) and within ±4.1% in 2025-2026 (months already seen in round 1).
Comparable sales
- #127 2025-07-20: 45.5 ETH (28.9 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #127 2024-11-15: 33.0 ETH (26.1 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #3364 2026-10-30: 29.0 ETH (30.5 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #3364 2026-10-28: 28.5 ETH (28.6 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #242 2026-10-01: 35.3 ETH (32.0 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #8809 2026-09-23: 32.5 ETH (28.6 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #2876 2026-09-22: 32.4 ETH (30.0 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #6149 2026-09-22: 32.0 ETH (29.6 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
Sales of this punk
- 2021-02-18: 15.0 ETH (sale)
- 2026-09-23: 32.7 ETH (sale)
Valuation (beta) from public marketplace sales: not an appraisal and not financial advice. It can be wrong, so read the range, not only the number.