CryptoPunk #4715 valuation (beta)
Male, Frown, Knitted Cap.
Valuation (beta), not a floor: 36.8 ETH (about $89,185). 1σ range 33.2 to 40.8 ETH, 2σ range 30.0 to 45.2 ETH. Confidence: High. Valued at the latest floor (as of 01:04 UTC, floor 30.39 ETH), fitted on sales up to the end of 2026-11-05, model est-v2-202610.
Not listed for sale.
Why this valuation
- Estimate 36.8 ETH (beta), 1σ range 33.2 to 40.8 ETH, 2σ range 30.0 to 45.2 ETH, confidence High, as of 01:04 UTC, floor 30.39 ETH (fitted on sales up to the end of 2026-11-05).
- Floor 30.4 ETH at 01:04 UTC; 30.4 ETH at the close of 2026-11-05.
- Male punks sold at a median 1.07x the floor of the day before (772 sales, 12 months).
- Terms with clear support: Male market level +5%, Skin tone 3 (vs 1) +13%, 2 attributes (vs 3) -4%.
- In the backtest, Male 2-3 sales landed within ±6.1% of the estimate half the time (2023-2024) and within ±5.7% in 2025-2026 (months already seen in round 1).
Comparable sales
- #7440 2026-11-01: 40.4 ETH (40.4 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-05)
- #6438 2026-08-12: 38.0 ETH (36.4 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-05)
- #7440 2026-05-12: 39.5 ETH (40.6 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-05)
- #9516 2025-10-01: 46.5 ETH (29.9 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-05)
- #9516 2025-09-29: 46.0 ETH (29.9 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-05)
- #8781 2025-09-16: 50.0 ETH (31.0 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-05)
- #9516 2025-07-21: 49.0 ETH (31.1 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-05)
- #7440 2025-03-15: 46.0 ETH (36.4 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-05)
Sales of this punk
- 2022-06-25: 80.0 ETH (sale)
- 2022-07-15: 89.0 ETH (accepted bid)
- 2022-08-03: 82.0 ETH (sale)
- 2022-09-09: 74.0 ETH (sale)
- 2026-05-01: 31.5 ETH (sale)
- 2026-05-12: 33.1 ETH (sale)
- 2026-07-21: 39.0 ETH (sale)
Valuation (beta) from public marketplace sales: not an appraisal and not financial advice. It can be wrong, so read the range, not only the number.