CryptoPunk #4721 valuation (beta)
Female, Hot Lipstick, Stringy Hair, Cigarette.
Valuation (beta), not a floor: 30.4 ETH (about $69,213). 1σ range 28.9 to 32.1 ETH, 2σ range 27.4 to 33.8 ETH. Confidence: High. Valued at the latest floor (as of 20:04 UTC, floor 30.39 ETH), fitted on sales up to the end of 2026-11-04, model est-v2-202610.
Not listed for sale.
Why this valuation
- Estimate 30.4 ETH (beta), 1σ range 28.9 to 32.1 ETH, 2σ range 27.4 to 33.8 ETH, confidence High, as of 20:04 UTC, floor 30.39 ETH (fitted on sales up to the end of 2026-11-04).
- Floor 30.4 ETH at 20:04 UTC; 30.0 ETH at the close of 2026-11-04.
- Female punks sold at a median 1.01x the floor of the day before (442 sales, 12 months).
- Terms with clear support: Skin tone 3 (vs 1) +4%, Stringy Hair -3%, Cigarette -2%.
- Female estimates sit close to the floor by design: in the backtest the floor times the type multiple was the better median guess for Female punks.
- In the backtest, Female 2-3 sales landed within ±4% of the estimate half the time (2023-2024) and within ±4.1% in 2025-2026 (months already seen in round 1).
Comparable sales
- #2278 2026-10-30: 27.1 ETH (28.5 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #4065 2026-09-22: 32.4 ETH (30.0 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #3646 2026-05-31: 30.5 ETH (28.7 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #5032 2026-05-15: 29.0 ETH (28.1 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #5032 2026-05-14: 29.0 ETH (29.1 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #4099 2026-04-30: 64.9 ETH (63.2 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #5863 2026-04-08: 27.1 ETH (28.8 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #5863 2026-04-05: 27.0 ETH (28.1 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
Sales of this punk
- 2022-12-29: 65.0 ETH (sale)
- 2023-01-06: 66.0 ETH (sale)
- 2023-08-29: 47.6 ETH (sale)
- 2024-05-12: 39.0 ETH (sale, not used: twin-of-nominal-24h)
Valuation (beta) from public marketplace sales: not an appraisal and not financial advice. It can be wrong, so read the range, not only the number.