CryptoPunk #4740 valuation (beta)
Female, Wild White Hair, Green Eye Shadow.
Valuation (beta), not a floor: 42.6 ETH (about $96,748). 1σ range 35.9 to 50.5 ETH, 2σ range 30.2 to 59.9 ETH. Confidence: Low. Valued at the latest floor (as of 23:04 UTC, floor 30.39 ETH), fitted on sales up to the end of 2026-11-04, model est-v2-202610.
Listed at 60.0 ETH, 2.0σ above the estimate.
Why this valuation
- Estimate 42.6 ETH (beta), 1σ range 35.9 to 50.5 ETH, 2σ range 30.2 to 59.9 ETH, confidence Low, as of 23:04 UTC, floor 30.39 ETH (fitted on sales up to the end of 2026-11-04).
- Floor 30.4 ETH at 23:04 UTC; 30.0 ETH at the close of 2026-11-04.
- Female punks sold at a median 1.01x the floor of the day before (442 sales, 12 months).
- Terms with clear support: Skin tone 2 (vs 1) +3%, Wild White Hair +35%.
- Female estimates sit close to the floor by design: in the backtest the floor times the type multiple was the better median guess for Female punks.
- In the backtest, Female 2-3 sales landed within ±4% of the estimate half the time (2023-2024) and within ±4.1% in 2025-2026 (months already seen in round 1).
Comparable sales
- #6897 2026-10-27: 29.4 ETH (28.9 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #6897 2026-10-27: 29.0 ETH (28.5 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #6897 2026-10-27: 28.4 ETH (28.0 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #4405 2026-10-22: 88.0 ETH (84.4 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #4075 2026-10-08: 31.5 ETH (28.8 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #4075 2026-09-23: 33.6 ETH (29.6 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #4281 2026-09-21: 43.0 ETH (41.6 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #4075 2026-09-20: 29.7 ETH (30.1 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
Sales of this punk
- 2021-01-28: 11.8 ETH (sale)
- 2021-02-21: 22.8 ETH (sale)
- 2021-04-20: 36.8 ETH (sale)
Valuation (beta) from public marketplace sales: not an appraisal and not financial advice. It can be wrong, so read the range, not only the number.