CryptoPunk #476 valuation (beta)
Male, Muttonchops, Mohawk, Pipe, Nerd Glasses.
Valuation (beta), not a floor: 31.3 ETH (about $71,107). 1σ range 28.6 to 34.2 ETH, 2σ range 26.1 to 37.5 ETH. Confidence: Medium. Valued at the latest floor (as of 21:04 UTC, floor 30.39 ETH), fitted on sales up to the end of 2026-11-04, model est-v2-202610.
Not listed for sale.
Why this valuation
- Estimate 31.3 ETH (beta), 1σ range 28.6 to 34.2 ETH, 2σ range 26.1 to 37.5 ETH, confidence Medium, as of 21:04 UTC, floor 30.39 ETH (fitted on sales up to the end of 2026-11-04).
- Floor 30.4 ETH at 21:04 UTC; 30.0 ETH at the close of 2026-11-04.
- Male punks sold at a median 1.07x the floor of the day before (778 sales, 12 months).
- Terms with clear support: Male market level +5%, Skin tone 2 (vs 1) +10%, Muttonchops -9%, Mohawk -8%.
- In the backtest, Male 4+ sales landed within ±6.9% of the estimate half the time (2023-2024) and within ±5.6% in 2025-2026 (months already seen in round 1).
Comparable sales
- #8340 2026-07-12: 37.5 ETH (34.7 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #9110 2026-04-10: 30.0 ETH (32.1 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #4126 2026-03-30: 31.0 ETH (32.1 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #1180 2025-12-22: 27.7 ETH (30.8 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #1180 2025-12-17: 27.0 ETH (30.0 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #8594 2025-11-28: 36.0 ETH (35.2 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #1180 2025-09-14: 49.9 ETH (30.9 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #9225 2025-08-02: 60.0 ETH (33.3 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
Sales of this punk
None on record.
Valuation (beta) from public marketplace sales: not an appraisal and not financial advice. It can be wrong, so read the range, not only the number.