CryptoPunk #4763 valuation (beta)
Female, Black Lipstick, Earring, Messy Hair, Big Shades.
Valuation (beta), not a floor: 31.9 ETH (about $72,630). 1σ range 30.2 to 33.8 ETH, 2σ range 28.5 to 35.8 ETH. Confidence: Medium. Valued at the latest floor (as of 22:04 UTC, floor 30.39 ETH), fitted on sales up to the end of 2026-11-04, model est-v2-202610.
Not listed for sale.
Why this valuation
- Estimate 31.9 ETH (beta), 1σ range 30.2 to 33.8 ETH, 2σ range 28.5 to 35.8 ETH, confidence Medium, as of 22:04 UTC, floor 30.39 ETH (fitted on sales up to the end of 2026-11-04).
- Floor 30.4 ETH at 22:04 UTC; 30.0 ETH at the close of 2026-11-04.
- Female punks sold at a median 1.01x the floor of the day before (442 sales, 12 months).
- Terms with clear support: Skin tone 3 (vs 1) +4%.
- Female estimates sit close to the floor by design: in the backtest the floor times the type multiple was the better median guess for Female punks.
- In the backtest, Female 4+ sales landed within ±3.4% of the estimate half the time (2023-2024) and within ±4.5% in 2025-2026 (months already seen in round 1).
Comparable sales
- #7155 2025-08-05: 52.5 ETH (30.6 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #7155 2025-08-04: 50.5 ETH (29.4 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #7155 2025-07-21: 48.4 ETH (30.3 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #588 2025-04-02: 53.5 ETH (37.7 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #1721 2026-11-03: 33.8 ETH (33.3 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #2651 2026-10-06: 50.0 ETH (45.6 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #2131 2026-09-01: 31.7 ETH (29.7 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #2131 2026-08-18: 32.2 ETH (30.0 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
Sales of this punk
- 2022-12-11: 83.5 ETH (sale)
- 2023-07-27: 52.0 ETH (sale)
- 2023-08-10: 51.5 ETH (accepted bid)
Valuation (beta) from public marketplace sales: not an appraisal and not financial advice. It can be wrong, so read the range, not only the number.