CryptoPunk #4770 valuation (beta)
Male, Mole, Shadow Beard, Hoodie.
Valuation (beta), not a floor: 117 ETH (about $284,377). 1σ range 61.3 to 225 ETH, 2σ range 32.1 to 430 ETH. Confidence: Low. Valued at the latest floor (as of 01:04 UTC, floor 30.39 ETH), fitted on sales up to the end of 2026-11-05, model est-v2-202610.
Not listed for sale.
Why this valuation
- Estimate 117 ETH (beta), 1σ range 61.3 to 225 ETH, 2σ range 32.1 to 430 ETH, confidence Low, as of 01:04 UTC, floor 30.39 ETH (fitted on sales up to the end of 2026-11-05).
- Floor 30.4 ETH at 01:04 UTC; 30.4 ETH at the close of 2026-11-05.
- Male punks sold at a median 1.07x the floor of the day before (772 sales, 12 months).
- Terms with clear support: Male market level +5%, Skin tone 2 (vs 1) +10%, Mole -7%, Hoodie +237%.
- In the backtest, Male 2-3 sales landed within ±6.1% of the estimate half the time (2023-2024) and within ±5.7% in 2025-2026 (months already seen in round 1).
Comparable sales
- #2311 2026-08-05: 269 ETH (258 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-05)
- #5402 2026-02-09: 144 ETH (147 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-05)
- #5402 2026-02-02: 114 ETH (123 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-05)
- #8002 2025-12-31: 26.3 ETH (29.8 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-05)
- #7625 2025-10-16: 47.0 ETH (32.5 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-05)
- #4668 2025-07-25: 250 ETH (146 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-05)
- #4220 2025-03-14: 135 ETH (107 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-05)
- #8868 2025-03-01: 289 ETH (253 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-05)
Sales of this punk
- 2021-01-27: 8.25 ETH (sale)
- 2021-02-14: 17.0 ETH (sale)
- 2021-02-20: 33.2 ETH (accepted bid)
- 2021-03-02: 53.0 ETH (accepted bid)
- 2021-03-12: 53.0 ETH (sale)
- 2021-08-07: 170 ETH (sale)
- 2022-01-02: 219 ETH (sale)
- 2026-03-28: 117 ETH (sale)
Valuation (beta) from public marketplace sales: not an appraisal and not financial advice. It can be wrong, so read the range, not only the number.