CryptoPunk #4774 valuation (beta)
Male, Rosy Cheeks, Earring, Do-rag, Clown Eyes Green.
Valuation (beta), not a floor: 31.8 ETH (about $72,369). 1σ range 29.1 to 34.8 ETH, 2σ range 26.6 to 38.1 ETH. Confidence: Low. Valued at the latest floor (as of 22:04 UTC, floor 30.39 ETH), fitted on sales up to the end of 2026-11-04, model est-v2-202610.
Not listed for sale.
Why this valuation
- Estimate 31.8 ETH (beta), 1σ range 29.1 to 34.8 ETH, 2σ range 26.6 to 38.1 ETH, confidence Low, as of 22:04 UTC, floor 30.39 ETH (fitted on sales up to the end of 2026-11-04).
- Floor 30.4 ETH at 22:04 UTC; 30.0 ETH at the close of 2026-11-04.
- Male punks sold at a median 1.07x the floor of the day before (778 sales, 12 months).
- Terms with clear support: Male market level +5%, Skin tone 2 (vs 1) +10%, Earring -2%, Do-rag -6%, Clown Eyes Green -8%.
- In the backtest, Male 4+ sales landed within ±6.9% of the estimate half the time (2023-2024) and within ±5.6% in 2025-2026 (months already seen in round 1).
Comparable sales
- #2224 2026-10-02: 33.0 ETH (30.0 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #2224 2026-09-21: 29.6 ETH (28.7 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #4325 2026-07-25: 38.5 ETH (35.6 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #4325 2026-07-23: 32.5 ETH (30.5 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #7132 2026-07-06: 34.0 ETH (31.4 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #8614 2026-06-26: 36.5 ETH (34.2 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #9233 2026-06-05: 34.0 ETH (31.9 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #8614 2026-05-21: 32.6 ETH (29.2 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
Sales of this punk
- 2021-08-01: 35.0 ETH (sale)
Valuation (beta) from public marketplace sales: not an appraisal and not financial advice. It can be wrong, so read the range, not only the number.