CryptoPunk #4776 valuation (beta)
Male, Big Beard, Frumpy Hair, Cigarette, Eye Patch.
Valuation (beta), not a floor: 35.4 ETH (about $85,683). 1σ range 32.0 to 39.1 ETH, 2σ range 29.0 to 43.1 ETH. Confidence: Low. Valued at the latest floor (as of 00:00 UTC, floor 30.39 ETH), fitted on sales up to the end of 2026-11-05, model est-v2-202610.
Not listed for sale.
Why this valuation
- Estimate 35.4 ETH (beta), 1σ range 32.0 to 39.1 ETH, 2σ range 29.0 to 43.1 ETH, confidence Low, as of 00:00 UTC, floor 30.39 ETH (fitted on sales up to the end of 2026-11-05).
- Floor 30.4 ETH at the close of 2026-11-05.
- Male punks sold at a median 1.07x the floor of the day before (772 sales, 12 months).
- Terms with clear support: Male market level +5%, Skin tone 3 (vs 1) +13%, Frumpy Hair -7%.
- In the backtest, Male 4+ sales landed within ±6.9% of the estimate half the time (2023-2024) and within ±5.6% in 2025-2026 (months already seen in round 1).
Comparable sales
- #2266 2025-12-12: 30.0 ETH (30.5 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-05)
- #2004 2026-09-22: 35.0 ETH (32.8 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-05)
- #1020 2026-09-07: 39.0 ETH (39.5 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-05)
- #8480 2026-08-25: 37.5 ETH (35.1 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-05)
- #3298 2026-08-17: 140 ETH (132 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-05)
- #9558 2026-07-21: 57.0 ETH (54.1 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-05)
- #235 2026-03-17: 34.9 ETH (36.6 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-05)
- #3837 2026-02-05: 35.0 ETH (35.6 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-05)
Sales of this punk
- 2021-04-09: 34.0 ETH (sale)
- 2021-04-29: 38.3 ETH (accepted bid)
- 2024-06-20: 30.0 ETH (accepted bid)
Valuation (beta) from public marketplace sales: not an appraisal and not financial advice. It can be wrong, so read the range, not only the number.