CryptoPunk #4780 valuation (beta)
Male, Cowboy Hat, VR.
Valuation (beta), not a floor: 78.4 ETH (about $178,189). 1σ range 50.0 to 123 ETH, 2σ range 31.9 to 192 ETH. Confidence: Low. Valued at the latest floor (as of 22:04 UTC, floor 30.39 ETH), fitted on sales up to the end of 2026-11-04, model est-v2-202610.
Not listed for sale.
Why this valuation
- Estimate 78.4 ETH (beta), 1σ range 50.0 to 123 ETH, 2σ range 31.9 to 192 ETH, confidence Low, as of 22:04 UTC, floor 30.39 ETH (fitted on sales up to the end of 2026-11-04).
- Floor 30.4 ETH at 22:04 UTC; 30.0 ETH at the close of 2026-11-04.
- Male punks sold at a median 1.07x the floor of the day before (778 sales, 12 months).
- Terms with clear support: Male market level +5%, 2 attributes (vs 3) -4%, Cowboy Hat +96%, VR +23%.
- In the backtest, Male 2-3 sales landed within ±6.1% of the estimate half the time (2023-2024) and within ±5.7% in 2025-2026 (months already seen in round 1).
Comparable sales
- #6669 2026-09-10: 32.0 ETH (32.1 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #9774 2026-07-27: 95.0 ETH (88.0 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #9558 2026-07-21: 57.0 ETH (53.4 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #2833 2026-07-03: 76.0 ETH (70.3 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #6891 2026-07-03: 97.0 ETH (89.7 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #1575 2026-07-02: 48.9 ETH (45.9 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #5008 2026-07-01: 100.0 ETH (96.7 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #8863 2026-06-05: 33.9 ETH (31.8 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
Sales of this punk
- 2021-01-21: 7.50 ETH (sale)
- 2021-04-09: 75.5 ETH (sale)
Valuation (beta) from public marketplace sales: not an appraisal and not financial advice. It can be wrong, so read the range, not only the number.