CryptoPunk #4782 valuation (beta)
Female, Wild Hair, Clown Nose.
Valuation (beta), not a floor: 28.6 ETH (about $64,967). 1σ range 26.8 to 30.4 ETH, 2σ range 25.2 to 32.4 ETH. Confidence: Low. Valued at the latest floor (as of 21:04 UTC, floor 30.39 ETH), fitted on sales up to the end of 2026-11-04, model est-v2-202610.
Listed at 38.9 ETH, 4.9σ above the estimate.
Why this valuation
- Estimate 28.6 ETH (beta), 1σ range 26.8 to 30.4 ETH, 2σ range 25.2 to 32.4 ETH, confidence Low, as of 21:04 UTC, floor 30.39 ETH (fitted on sales up to the end of 2026-11-04).
- Floor 30.4 ETH at 21:04 UTC; 30.0 ETH at the close of 2026-11-04.
- Female punks sold at a median 1.01x the floor of the day before (442 sales, 12 months).
- Terms with clear support: Clown Nose -7%.
- Female estimates sit close to the floor by design: in the backtest the floor times the type multiple was the better median guess for Female punks.
- In the backtest, Female 2-3 sales landed within ±4% of the estimate half the time (2023-2024) and within ±4.1% in 2025-2026 (months already seen in round 1).
Comparable sales
- #9244 2024-11-21: 37.0 ETH (29.4 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #874 2026-10-30: 28.9 ETH (30.4 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #2278 2026-10-30: 27.1 ETH (28.5 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #6897 2026-10-27: 29.4 ETH (28.9 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #6897 2026-10-27: 29.0 ETH (28.5 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #6897 2026-10-27: 28.4 ETH (28.0 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #4351 2026-10-02: 31.7 ETH (28.8 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #1707 2026-09-23: 32.5 ETH (28.6 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
Sales of this punk
- 2026-07-11: 32.0 ETH (sale)
Valuation (beta) from public marketplace sales: not an appraisal and not financial advice. It can be wrong, so read the range, not only the number.