CryptoPunk #4790 valuation (beta)
Male, Mustache, Crazy Hair, Cigarette, Big Shades.
Valuation (beta), not a floor: 38.2 ETH (about $92,447). 1σ range 33.8 to 43.1 ETH, 2σ range 30.0 to 48.6 ETH. Confidence: Medium. Valued at the latest floor (as of 01:04 UTC, floor 30.39 ETH), fitted on sales up to the end of 2026-11-05, model est-v2-202610.
Listed at 55.0 ETH, 3.0σ above the estimate.
Why this valuation
- Estimate 38.2 ETH (beta), 1σ range 33.8 to 43.1 ETH, 2σ range 30.0 to 48.6 ETH, confidence Medium, as of 01:04 UTC, floor 30.39 ETH (fitted on sales up to the end of 2026-11-05).
- Floor 30.4 ETH at 01:04 UTC; 30.4 ETH at the close of 2026-11-05.
- Male punks sold at a median 1.07x the floor of the day before (772 sales, 12 months).
- Terms with clear support: Male market level +5%, Skin tone 3 (vs 1) +13%.
- In the backtest, Male 4+ sales landed within ±6.9% of the estimate half the time (2023-2024) and within ±5.6% in 2025-2026 (months already seen in round 1).
Comparable sales
- #8879 2026-10-24: 45.0 ETH (44.5 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-05)
- #3739 2026-10-11: 33.5 ETH (32.3 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-05)
- #1521 2026-09-15: 35.0 ETH (36.2 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-05)
- #1839 2026-09-04: 162 ETH (160 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-05)
- #2687 2026-08-31: 35.0 ETH (33.2 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-05)
- #8353 2026-08-08: 40.5 ETH (38.2 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-05)
- #3739 2026-07-04: 34.0 ETH (31.8 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-05)
- #3860 2026-07-02: 42.0 ETH (39.9 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-05)
Sales of this punk
- 2026-03-04: 29.0 ETH (sale)
- 2026-03-13: 36.9 ETH (sale)
Valuation (beta) from public marketplace sales: not an appraisal and not financial advice. It can be wrong, so read the range, not only the number.