CryptoPunk #4807 valuation (beta)
Male, Frown, Shadow Beard, Fedora.
Valuation (beta), not a floor: 33.9 ETH (about $77,055). 1σ range 31.2 to 36.8 ETH, 2σ range 28.7 to 40.0 ETH. Confidence: Low. Valued at the latest floor (as of 22:04 UTC, floor 30.39 ETH), fitted on sales up to the end of 2026-11-04, model est-v2-202610.
Listed at 166 ETH, 19.1σ above the estimate.
Why this valuation
- Estimate 33.9 ETH (beta), 1σ range 31.2 to 36.8 ETH, 2σ range 28.7 to 40.0 ETH, confidence Low, as of 22:04 UTC, floor 30.39 ETH (fitted on sales up to the end of 2026-11-04).
- Floor 30.4 ETH at 22:04 UTC; 30.0 ETH at the close of 2026-11-04.
- Male punks sold at a median 1.07x the floor of the day before (778 sales, 12 months).
- Terms with clear support: Male market level +5%.
- In the backtest, Male 2-3 sales landed within ±6.1% of the estimate half the time (2023-2024) and within ±5.7% in 2025-2026 (months already seen in round 1).
Comparable sales
- #3330 2025-01-14: 48.0 ETH (35.2 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #7440 2026-11-01: 40.4 ETH (39.8 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #7368 2026-09-24: 39.9 ETH (35.5 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #2648 2026-05-25: 35.0 ETH (31.6 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #8155 2026-05-24: 40.0 ETH (36.1 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #7440 2026-05-12: 39.5 ETH (40.0 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #7376 2026-02-24: 50.0 ETH (50.3 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #8781 2025-09-16: 50.0 ETH (30.6 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
Sales of this punk
- 2021-08-06: 66.0 ETH (sale)
- 2021-08-24: 86.0 ETH (sale)
- 2021-09-16: 100 ETH (sale)
Valuation (beta) from public marketplace sales: not an appraisal and not financial advice. It can be wrong, so read the range, not only the number.