CryptoPunk #4811 valuation (beta)
Male, Shaved Head, Big Shades.
Valuation (beta), not a floor: 30.3 ETH (about $68,910). 1σ range 27.8 to 33.0 ETH, 2σ range 25.5 to 36.0 ETH. Confidence: High. Valued at the latest floor (as of 20:04 UTC, floor 30.39 ETH), fitted on sales up to the end of 2026-11-04, model est-v2-202610.
Listed at 200 ETH, 21.8σ above the estimate.
Why this valuation
- Estimate 30.3 ETH (beta), 1σ range 27.8 to 33.0 ETH, 2σ range 25.5 to 36.0 ETH, confidence High, as of 20:04 UTC, floor 30.39 ETH (fitted on sales up to the end of 2026-11-04).
- Floor 30.4 ETH at 20:04 UTC; 30.0 ETH at the close of 2026-11-04.
- Male punks sold at a median 1.07x the floor of the day before (778 sales, 12 months).
- Terms with clear support: Male market level +5%, 2 attributes (vs 3) -4%, Shaved Head -7%.
- In the backtest, Male 2-3 sales landed within ±6.1% of the estimate half the time (2023-2024) and within ±5.7% in 2025-2026 (months already seen in round 1).
Comparable sales
- #309 2025-12-04: 42.0 ETH (41.8 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #3391 2026-11-02: 30.0 ETH (29.6 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #6406 2026-11-01: 37.0 ETH (36.5 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #6687 2026-10-16: 43.5 ETH (42.1 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #3739 2026-10-11: 33.5 ETH (31.9 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #4341 2026-10-05: 33.9 ETH (30.9 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #4810 2026-10-03: 42.0 ETH (38.2 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #1241 2026-10-03: 35.2 ETH (32.0 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
Sales of this punk
- 2019-09-28: 0.25 ETH (sale)
- 2019-11-02: 0.33 ETH (sale)
Valuation (beta) from public marketplace sales: not an appraisal and not financial advice. It can be wrong, so read the range, not only the number.