CryptoPunk #4817 valuation (beta)
Female, Clown Eyes Green.
Valuation (beta), not a floor: 30.6 ETH (about $69,617). 1σ range 24.8 to 37.7 ETH, 2σ range 20.2 to 46.5 ETH. Confidence: Medium. Valued at the latest floor (as of 21:04 UTC, floor 30.39 ETH), fitted on sales up to the end of 2026-11-04, model est-v2-202610.
Listed at 120 ETH, 6.5σ above the estimate.
Why this valuation
- Estimate 30.6 ETH (beta), 1σ range 24.8 to 37.7 ETH, 2σ range 20.2 to 46.5 ETH, confidence Medium, as of 21:04 UTC, floor 30.39 ETH (fitted on sales up to the end of 2026-11-04).
- Floor 30.4 ETH at 21:04 UTC; 30.0 ETH at the close of 2026-11-04.
- Female punks sold at a median 1.01x the floor of the day before (442 sales, 12 months).
- Terms with clear support: Skin tone 3 (vs 1) +4%, Clown Eyes Green -4%.
- Female estimates sit close to the floor by design: in the backtest the floor times the type multiple was the better median guess for Female punks.
- In the backtest, Female 0-1 sales landed within ±9% of the estimate half the time (2023-2024) and within ±19.5% in 2025-2026 (months already seen in round 1).
Comparable sales
- #3364 2026-10-30: 29.0 ETH (30.5 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #3364 2026-10-28: 28.5 ETH (28.6 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #471 2026-09-23: 32.7 ETH (28.8 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #5541 2026-08-23: 50.5 ETH (47.4 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #4704 2026-07-11: 33.0 ETH (30.5 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #9710 2026-07-04: 32.5 ETH (30.0 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #8999 2026-06-25: 30.5 ETH (29.0 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #4704 2026-06-18: 32.0 ETH (29.3 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
Sales of this punk
- 2017-08-12: 0.39 ETH (sale)
- 2018-05-07: 0.08 ETH (accepted bid)
Valuation (beta) from public marketplace sales: not an appraisal and not financial advice. It can be wrong, so read the range, not only the number.