CryptoPunk #4820 valuation (beta)
Male, Earring, Purple Hair, Cigarette, Horned Rim Glasses.
Valuation (beta), not a floor: 39.6 ETH (about $90,100). 1σ range 34.6 to 45.3 ETH, 2σ range 30.3 to 51.9 ETH. Confidence: Low. Valued at the latest floor (as of 21:04 UTC, floor 30.39 ETH), fitted on sales up to the end of 2026-11-04, model est-v2-202610.
Not listed for sale.
Why this valuation
- Estimate 39.6 ETH (beta), 1σ range 34.6 to 45.3 ETH, 2σ range 30.3 to 51.9 ETH, confidence Low, as of 21:04 UTC, floor 30.39 ETH (fitted on sales up to the end of 2026-11-04).
- Floor 30.4 ETH at 21:04 UTC; 30.0 ETH at the close of 2026-11-04.
- Male punks sold at a median 1.07x the floor of the day before (778 sales, 12 months).
- Terms with clear support: Male market level +5%, Skin tone 4 (vs 1) +20%, Earring -2%.
- In the backtest, Male 4+ sales landed within ±6.9% of the estimate half the time (2023-2024) and within ±5.6% in 2025-2026 (months already seen in round 1).
Comparable sales
- #7917 2026-01-03: 31.1 ETH (33.0 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #6138 2025-10-22: 42.0 ETH (32.3 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #4234 2025-08-05: 60.0 ETH (34.9 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #3425 2026-11-02: 27.6 ETH (27.2 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #9132 2026-10-30: 28.5 ETH (30.0 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #3739 2026-10-11: 33.5 ETH (31.9 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #1839 2026-09-04: 162 ETH (158 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #3425 2026-07-30: 33.0 ETH (30.6 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
Sales of this punk
- 2021-03-16: 28.5 ETH (accepted bid)
Valuation (beta) from public marketplace sales: not an appraisal and not financial advice. It can be wrong, so read the range, not only the number.