CryptoPunk #4822 valuation (beta)
Male, Normal Beard Black, Vampire Hair, 3D Glasses.
Valuation (beta), not a floor: 58.8 ETH (about $133,651). 1σ range 43.2 to 80.0 ETH, 2σ range 31.7 to 109 ETH. Confidence: Low. Valued at the latest floor (as of 21:04 UTC, floor 30.39 ETH), fitted on sales up to the end of 2026-11-04, model est-v2-202610.
Not listed for sale.
Why this valuation
- Estimate 58.8 ETH (beta), 1σ range 43.2 to 80.0 ETH, 2σ range 31.7 to 109 ETH, confidence Low, as of 21:04 UTC, floor 30.39 ETH (fitted on sales up to the end of 2026-11-04).
- Floor 30.4 ETH at 21:04 UTC; 30.0 ETH at the close of 2026-11-04.
- Male punks sold at a median 1.07x the floor of the day before (778 sales, 12 months).
- Terms with clear support: Male market level +5%, Skin tone 2 (vs 1) +10%, Vampire Hair -11%, 3D Glasses +76%.
- In the backtest, Male 2-3 sales landed within ±6.1% of the estimate half the time (2023-2024) and within ±5.7% in 2025-2026 (months already seen in round 1).
Comparable sales
- #1590 2026-02-07: 37.8 ETH (37.9 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #8692 2025-07-30: 93.1 ETH (51.9 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #1590 2025-07-20: 50.0 ETH (31.7 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #9669 2025-05-09: 50.0 ETH (33.4 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #5963 2025-04-19: 88.0 ETH (62.8 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #5699 2025-03-04: 59.0 ETH (49.2 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #5388 2025-03-04: 43.0 ETH (35.9 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #5388 2024-11-28: 45.0 ETH (33.8 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
Sales of this punk
- 2026-07-16: 67.5 ETH (sale)
Valuation (beta) from public marketplace sales: not an appraisal and not financial advice. It can be wrong, so read the range, not only the number.