CryptoPunk #4826 valuation (beta)
Male, Shaved Head, Eye Mask.
Valuation (beta), not a floor: 33.4 ETH (about $80,822). 1σ range 30.7 to 36.2 ETH, 2σ range 28.3 to 39.2 ETH. Confidence: High. Valued at the latest floor (as of 00:00 UTC, floor 30.39 ETH), fitted on sales up to the end of 2026-11-05, model est-v2-202610.
Not listed for sale.
Why this valuation
- Estimate 33.4 ETH (beta), 1σ range 30.7 to 36.2 ETH, 2σ range 28.3 to 39.2 ETH, confidence High, as of 00:00 UTC, floor 30.39 ETH (fitted on sales up to the end of 2026-11-05).
- Floor 30.4 ETH at the close of 2026-11-05.
- Male punks sold at a median 1.07x the floor of the day before (772 sales, 12 months).
- Terms with clear support: Male market level +5%, Skin tone 2 (vs 1) +10%, 2 attributes (vs 3) -4%, Shaved Head -7%.
- In the backtest, Male 2-3 sales landed within ±6.1% of the estimate half the time (2023-2024) and within ±5.7% in 2025-2026 (months already seen in round 1).
Comparable sales
- #1567 2026-01-09: 30.0 ETH (31.2 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-05)
- #6745 2025-09-24: 48.0 ETH (31.4 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-05)
- #2410 2024-11-20: 45.0 ETH (38.6 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-05)
- #2410 2024-11-15: 39.7 ETH (31.7 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-05)
- #3391 2026-11-02: 30.0 ETH (30.0 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-05)
- #6406 2026-11-01: 37.0 ETH (37.0 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-05)
- #4810 2026-10-03: 42.0 ETH (38.7 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-05)
- #1241 2026-10-03: 35.2 ETH (32.4 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-05)
Sales of this punk
- 2020-09-10: 1.17 ETH (sale)
- 2021-02-18: 12.7 ETH (sale)
- 2021-02-18: 13.8 ETH (sale)
- 2021-02-21: 16.0 ETH (sale)
- 2021-04-08: 21.5 ETH (sale)
- 2021-04-15: 22.0 ETH (accepted bid)
- 2021-07-30: 27.0 ETH (sale)
- 2026-01-16: 25.6 ETH (sale)
- 2026-02-03: 30.7 ETH (sale)
Valuation (beta) from public marketplace sales: not an appraisal and not financial advice. It can be wrong, so read the range, not only the number.