CryptoPunk #4827 valuation (beta)
Male, Luxurious Beard, Stringy Hair, Regular Shades.
Valuation (beta), not a floor: 34.6 ETH (about $78,620). 1σ range 31.7 to 37.7 ETH, 2σ range 29.1 to 41.1 ETH. Confidence: High. Valued at the latest floor (as of 20:04 UTC, floor 30.39 ETH), fitted on sales up to the end of 2026-11-04, model est-v2-202610.
Not listed for sale.
Why this valuation
- Estimate 34.6 ETH (beta), 1σ range 31.7 to 37.7 ETH, 2σ range 29.1 to 41.1 ETH, confidence High, as of 20:04 UTC, floor 30.39 ETH (fitted on sales up to the end of 2026-11-04).
- Floor 30.4 ETH at 20:04 UTC; 30.0 ETH at the close of 2026-11-04.
- Male punks sold at a median 1.07x the floor of the day before (778 sales, 12 months).
- Terms with clear support: Male market level +5%, Skin tone 3 (vs 1) +13%, Stringy Hair -9%.
- In the backtest, Male 2-3 sales landed within ±6.1% of the estimate half the time (2023-2024) and within ±5.7% in 2025-2026 (months already seen in round 1).
Comparable sales
- #5092 2026-06-13: 200 ETH (183 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #6538 2025-08-12: 60.0 ETH (33.3 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #5882 2025-04-08: 48.9 ETH (34.4 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #9528 2025-01-24: 45.6 ETH (33.4 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #9528 2025-01-17: 38.9 ETH (30.7 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #4993 2024-12-12: 44.0 ETH (33.4 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #4993 2024-12-07: 40.0 ETH (30.0 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #4436 2024-11-23: 46.9 ETH (37.3 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
Sales of this punk
- 2017-06-30: 0.14 ETH (sale)
- 2017-07-11: 0.35 ETH (sale)
- 2019-01-24: 0.55 ETH (sale)
- 2020-05-14: 0.60 ETH (sale)
Valuation (beta) from public marketplace sales: not an appraisal and not financial advice. It can be wrong, so read the range, not only the number.