CryptoPunk #4836 valuation (beta)
Male, Front Beard Dark, Mohawk.
Valuation (beta), not a floor: 33.6 ETH (about $76,304). 1σ range 30.9 to 36.4 ETH, 2σ range 28.5 to 39.5 ETH. Confidence: High. Valued at the latest floor (as of 22:04 UTC, floor 30.39 ETH), fitted on sales up to the end of 2026-11-04, model est-v2-202610.
Not listed for sale.
Why this valuation
- Estimate 33.6 ETH (beta), 1σ range 30.9 to 36.4 ETH, 2σ range 28.5 to 39.5 ETH, confidence High, as of 22:04 UTC, floor 30.39 ETH (fitted on sales up to the end of 2026-11-04).
- Floor 30.4 ETH at 22:04 UTC; 30.0 ETH at the close of 2026-11-04.
- Male punks sold at a median 1.07x the floor of the day before (778 sales, 12 months).
- Terms with clear support: Male market level +5%, Skin tone 4 (vs 1) +20%, 2 attributes (vs 3) -4%, Front Beard Dark -7%, Mohawk -8%.
- In the backtest, Male 2-3 sales landed within ±6.1% of the estimate half the time (2023-2024) and within ±5.7% in 2025-2026 (months already seen in round 1).
Comparable sales
- #7717 2026-02-03: 31.0 ETH (34.4 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #5394 2026-10-30: 35.0 ETH (36.8 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #9132 2026-10-30: 28.5 ETH (30.0 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #9176 2026-10-27: 30.5 ETH (30.0 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #5098 2026-10-15: 30.4 ETH (29.4 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #5098 2026-10-08: 31.3 ETH (28.7 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #2529 2026-10-02: 36.5 ETH (33.2 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #2529 2026-09-27: 32.5 ETH (28.9 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
Sales of this punk
- 2018-12-05: 0.15 ETH (sale)
- 2021-03-19: 4.00 ETH (sale, not used: below-half-floor)
- 2021-03-19: 23.5 ETH (sale, not used: twin-of-nominal-24h)
Valuation (beta) from public marketplace sales: not an appraisal and not financial advice. It can be wrong, so read the range, not only the number.