CryptoPunk #4838 valuation (beta)
Male, Vampire Hair, Clown Nose.
Valuation (beta), not a floor: 30.2 ETH (about $68,567). 1σ range 27.6 to 32.9 ETH, 2σ range 25.3 to 35.9 ETH. Confidence: Low. Valued at the latest floor (as of 22:04 UTC, floor 30.39 ETH), fitted on sales up to the end of 2026-11-04, model est-v2-202610.
Not listed for sale.
Why this valuation
- Estimate 30.2 ETH (beta), 1σ range 27.6 to 32.9 ETH, 2σ range 25.3 to 35.9 ETH, confidence Low, as of 22:04 UTC, floor 30.39 ETH (fitted on sales up to the end of 2026-11-04).
- Floor 30.4 ETH at 22:04 UTC; 30.0 ETH at the close of 2026-11-04.
- Male punks sold at a median 1.07x the floor of the day before (778 sales, 12 months).
- Terms with clear support: Male market level +5%, Skin tone 2 (vs 1) +10%, 2 attributes (vs 3) -4%, Vampire Hair -11%, Clown Nose -6%.
- In the backtest, Male 2-3 sales landed within ±6.1% of the estimate half the time (2023-2024) and within ±5.7% in 2025-2026 (months already seen in round 1).
Comparable sales
- #4282 2026-11-02: 30.3 ETH (29.8 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #9216 2026-10-30: 31.3 ETH (32.9 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #4282 2026-10-30: 29.8 ETH (31.3 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #192 2026-09-24: 36.0 ETH (32.0 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #4059 2026-09-23: 34.5 ETH (30.4 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #9541 2026-09-21: 34.0 ETH (32.9 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #4255 2026-09-02: 33.5 ETH (31.9 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #4059 2026-08-05: 30.4 ETH (28.8 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
Sales of this punk
- 2018-05-06: 0.06 ETH (accepted bid)
- 2018-09-22: 0.18 ETH (sale)
Valuation (beta) from public marketplace sales: not an appraisal and not financial advice. It can be wrong, so read the range, not only the number.