CryptoPunk #4839 valuation (beta)
Female, Purple Lipstick, Red Mohawk, Cigarette, Blue Eye Shadow.
Valuation (beta), not a floor: 30.8 ETH (about $74,699). 1σ range 29.2 to 32.5 ETH, 2σ range 27.7 to 34.3 ETH. Confidence: Low. Valued at the latest floor (as of 01:04 UTC, floor 30.39 ETH), fitted on sales up to the end of 2026-11-05, model est-v2-202610.
Not listed for sale.
Why this valuation
- Estimate 30.8 ETH (beta), 1σ range 29.2 to 32.5 ETH, 2σ range 27.7 to 34.3 ETH, confidence Low, as of 01:04 UTC, floor 30.39 ETH (fitted on sales up to the end of 2026-11-05).
- Floor 30.4 ETH at 01:04 UTC; 30.4 ETH at the close of 2026-11-05.
- Female punks sold at a median 1.01x the floor of the day before (440 sales, 12 months).
- Terms with clear support: Skin tone 2 (vs 1) +3%, Cigarette -2%.
- Female estimates sit close to the floor by design: in the backtest the floor times the type multiple was the better median guess for Female punks.
- In the backtest, Female 4+ sales landed within ±3.4% of the estimate half the time (2023-2024) and within ±4.5% in 2025-2026 (months already seen in round 1).
Comparable sales
- #9881 2025-03-23: 42.0 ETH (31.9 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-05)
- #9881 2025-01-03: 38.9 ETH (31.7 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-05)
- #9881 2025-01-02: 38.0 ETH (30.6 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-05)
- #9881 2024-12-21: 36.5 ETH (27.8 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-05)
- #9881 2024-11-14: 33.5 ETH (30.9 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-05)
- #5931 2026-09-23: 32.5 ETH (29.0 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-05)
- #6570 2026-08-24: 34.5 ETH (32.3 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-05)
- #7877 2026-05-16: 32.0 ETH (29.6 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-05)
Sales of this punk
- 2018-11-20: 0.47 ETH (sale)
Valuation (beta) from public marketplace sales: not an appraisal and not financial advice. It can be wrong, so read the range, not only the number.