CryptoPunk #4842 valuation (beta)
Male, Smile, Earring, Mohawk Thin.
Valuation (beta), not a floor: 38.0 ETH (about $92,144). 1σ range 34.0 to 42.6 ETH, 2σ range 30.3 to 47.7 ETH. Confidence: Low. Valued at the latest floor (as of 02:04 UTC, floor 30.39 ETH), fitted on sales up to the end of 2026-11-05, model est-v2-202610.
Not listed for sale.
Why this valuation
- Estimate 38.0 ETH (beta), 1σ range 34.0 to 42.6 ETH, 2σ range 30.3 to 47.7 ETH, confidence Low, as of 02:04 UTC, floor 30.39 ETH (fitted on sales up to the end of 2026-11-05).
- Floor 30.4 ETH at 02:04 UTC; 30.4 ETH at the close of 2026-11-05.
- Male punks sold at a median 1.07x the floor of the day before (772 sales, 12 months).
- Terms with clear support: Male market level +5%, Skin tone 2 (vs 1) +10%, Smile +17%, Earring -2%, Mohawk Thin -11%.
- In the backtest, Male 2-3 sales landed within ±6.1% of the estimate half the time (2023-2024) and within ±5.7% in 2025-2026 (months already seen in round 1).
Comparable sales
- #7591 2026-09-25: 33.2 ETH (29.9 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-05)
- #192 2026-09-24: 36.0 ETH (32.5 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-05)
- #1839 2026-09-04: 162 ETH (160 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-05)
- #8375 2026-09-04: 32.5 ETH (32.1 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-05)
- #5459 2026-07-04: 33.9 ETH (31.8 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-05)
- #8918 2026-06-16: 39.0 ETH (36.2 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-05)
- #5459 2026-04-21: 30.0 ETH (32.5 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-05)
- #9024 2026-03-28: 30.0 ETH (31.7 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-05)
Sales of this punk
- 2017-06-24: 0.10 ETH (sale, not used: below-half-floor)
- 2017-07-04: 0.26 ETH (sale)
- 2021-03-30: 18.5 ETH (accepted bid)
- 2021-04-30: 30.0 ETH (sale)
- 2021-05-03: 35.0 ETH (sale)
Valuation (beta) from public marketplace sales: not an appraisal and not financial advice. It can be wrong, so read the range, not only the number.